Impala Platinum Holdings Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Impala Platinum Holdings is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 86.9% and 8.5% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 87% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 11.4% in 3 years.

Key information

86.9%

Earnings growth rate

87.0%

EPS growth rate

Metals and Mining earnings growth	28.1%
Revenue growth rate	8.5%
Future return on equity	11.4%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	20 Nov 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

DB:IPHB - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (ZAR Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
6/30/2027	110,398	7,950	6,096	14,069	6
6/30/2026	103,437	7,289	9,753	18,233	7
6/30/2025	92,102	5,903	8,303	17,135	7
6/30/2024	86,398	-17,313	-7,039	6,941	N/A
3/31/2024	89,310	-12,383	-5,636	8,668	N/A
12/31/2023	92,222	-7,454	-2,920	10,395	N/A
9/30/2023	99,408	-1,274	4,647	16,982	N/A
6/30/2023	106,594	4,905	10,899	23,569	N/A
3/31/2023	113,552	18,545	16,194	27,701	N/A
12/31/2022	120,509	32,184	21,488	31,832	N/A
9/30/2022	119,421	32,117	23,730	33,386	N/A
6/30/2022	118,332	32,049	25,971	34,939	N/A
3/31/2022	122,703	33,921	28,226	36,300	N/A
12/31/2021	127,074	35,792	30,481	37,660	N/A
9/30/2021	128,325	41,412	33,025	39,747	N/A
6/30/2021	129,575	47,032	35,569	41,834	N/A
3/31/2021	114,764	42,381	31,755	37,369	N/A
12/31/2020	99,953	37,730	27,941	32,904	N/A
9/30/2020	84,902	26,893	20,408	25,013	N/A
6/30/2020	69,851	16,055	12,874	17,122	N/A
3/31/2020	61,489	9,312	9,756	13,872	N/A
12/31/2019	53,127	2,568	6,638	10,621	N/A
9/30/2019	50,878	2,020	6,710	10,640	N/A
6/30/2019	48,629	1,471	6,781	10,658	N/A
3/31/2019	45,362	-3,369	4,725	8,909	N/A
12/31/2018	42,095	-8,210	2,668	7,159	N/A
9/30/2018	38,975	-9,444	-1,000	3,579	N/A
6/30/2018	35,854	-10,679	-4,668	-1	N/A
3/31/2018	35,746	-9,345	N/A	10	N/A
12/31/2017	35,637	-8,012	N/A	21	N/A
9/30/2017	36,239	-8,116	N/A	517	N/A
6/30/2017	36,841	-8,220	N/A	1,013	N/A
3/31/2017	37,225	-4,405	N/A	1,311	N/A
12/31/2016	37,609	-590	N/A	1,609	N/A
9/30/2016	36,771	-330	N/A	2,170	N/A
6/30/2016	35,932	-70	N/A	2,731	N/A
3/31/2016	34,657	-1,916	N/A	2,938	N/A
12/31/2015	33,381	-3,763	N/A	3,144	N/A
9/30/2015	32,929	-3,713	N/A	2,736	N/A
6/30/2015	32,477	-3,663	N/A	2,328	N/A
3/31/2015	30,453	-2,142	N/A	2,345	N/A
12/31/2014	28,429	-622	N/A	2,362	N/A
9/30/2014	28,729	-307	N/A	3,229	N/A
6/30/2014	29,028	8	N/A	4,096	N/A
3/31/2014	30,150	545	N/A	4,299	N/A
12/31/2013	31,272	1,081	N/A	4,501	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: IPHB is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (1%).

Earnings vs Market: IPHB is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: IPHB is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: IPHB's revenue (8.5% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the German market (5.6% per year).

High Growth Revenue: IPHB's revenue (8.5% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: IPHB's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (11.4%).

Impala Platinum Holdings Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Impala Platinum Holdings Limited Provides Earnings Guidance for the Six Months Ended 31 December 2023

Impala Platinum Holdings Limited Provides Earnings Guidance for the Six Months Ended December 31, 2023

Impala Platinum Holdings Limited Provides Earnings Guidance for the Six Months Ended December 31, 2021

Recent updates

Now 20% undervalued

Now 24% undervalued after recent price drop

Full year 2024 earnings released: R19.29 loss per share (vs R5.77 profit in FY 2023)

First half 2024 earnings released: EPS: R1.80 (vs R16.49 in 1H 2023)

Impala Platinum Holdings Limited Provides Earnings Guidance for the Six Months Ended 31 December 2023

Impala Platinum Holdings Limited Provides Earnings Guidance for the Six Months Ended December 31, 2023

Impala Platinum Holdings Limited (JSE:IMP) acquired remaining 43.59% in Royal Bafokeng Platinum Limited for ZAR 2.7 billion.

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 19%

Impala Platinum Holdings Limited, Annual General Meeting, Oct 30, 2024

Impala Platinum Holdings Limited Approves the Appointment of Mametja Moshe as Audit and Risk Committee Member

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 17%

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 19%

Now 24% undervalued after recent price drop

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 18%

Upcoming dividend of R1.65 per share at 6.9% yield

Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: R5.77 (vs R38.56 in FY 2022)

Impala Platinum Holdings Limited Declares Dividend for the Financial Year Ended 30 June 2023, Payable on 26 September 2023

Insufficient new directors

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 16%

New minor risk - Shareholder dilution

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 15%

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 19%

Impala Platinum Holdings Limited Announces Management Changes

Upcoming dividend of R4.20 per share at 9.0% yield

First half 2023 earnings released: EPS: R16.49 (vs R16.93 in 1H 2022)

CFO, Debt Officer & Executive Director recently sold €65k worth of stock

Impala Platinum Holdings Limited Announces Passing of an Independent Non-Executive Director, Peter William Davey

Impala Platinum Holdings Limited, Annual General Meeting, Oct 11, 2023

Impala Platinum Holdings Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Results on Aug 31, 2023

Board Member recently sold €334k worth of stock

Public Investment Corporation SOC Limited on behalf of its clients acquired an unknown minority stake in Impala Platinum Holdings Limited (JSE:IMP).

Upcoming dividend of R10.50 per share

Full year 2022 earnings released: EPS: R38.56 (vs R59.96 in FY 2021)

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

Upcoming dividend of R5.25 per share

CFO, Debt Officer & Executive Director recently sold €165k worth of stock

First half 2022 earnings: EPS in line with expectations, revenues disappoint

Impala Platinum Holdings Limited Announces Interim Cash Dividend Results for the Six Months Ended 31 December 2021, Payable on 22 March 2022

Impala Platinum Holdings Limited Provides Earnings Guidance for the Six Months Ended December 31, 2021

Board Member recently sold €764k worth of stock

CEO & Executive Director recently sold €2.8m worth of stock

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Impala Platinum Holdings Limited (JSE:IMP) (Implats) made an offer to acquire remaining 75.48% stake in Royal Bafokeng Platinum Limited (JSE:RBP) (RBPlat) for ZAR 31.4 billion.

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Upcoming dividend of R12.00 per share

Full year 2021 earnings released: EPS R59.96 (vs R20.66 in FY 2020)

CEO & Executive Director recently sold €5.0m worth of stock

CEO & Executive Director recently sold €2.7m worth of stock

Upcoming Dividend of R10.00 Per Share

New 90-day high: €14.97

First half 2021 earnings released: EPS R32.22 (vs R4.39 in 1H 2020)

Impala Platinum Holdings Limited, Annual General Meeting, Oct 13, 2021

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

New 90-day high: €13.25

Impala Platinum Holdings Limited to Report First Half, 2021 Results on Feb 25, 2021

New 90-day high: €12.50

New 90-day high: €12.32

Impala Platinum Holdings Limited Appoints Ralph Havenstein as an Independent Non-Executive Director and Member of the Audit Committee with Effect from 1 January 2021

Market bids up stock over the past week

New 90-day high: €9.48

Impala Platinum Holdings Limited Appoints Meroonisha Kerber as Debt Officer

Market bids up stock over the past week

Market pulls back on stock over the past week

New 90-day high: €8.97

New 90-day high - €8.70

New 90-day high - €8.45

New 90-day high - €7.80

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts