Essentra Valuation

Is HOF undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of HOF when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: HOF (€2.02) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€4.14)

Significantly Below Fair Value: HOF is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HOF?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

HOF key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA13.9x
PEG Ratio2.6x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does HOF's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for HOF vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average13.9x
SIM0 SIMONA
13.2xn/a€402.0m
FPE3 Fuchs
20x9.0%€5.1b
ACT AlzChem Group
11.4x10.8%€445.7m
UZU Uzin Utz
11x6.7%€249.2m
HOF Essentra
90.5x34.8%€525.0m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: HOF is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (90.5x) compared to the peer average (13.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does HOF's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Chemicals Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a34.9%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a34.9%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: HOF is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (90.5x) compared to the European Chemicals industry average (18.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is HOF's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

HOF PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio90.5x
Fair PE Ratio22.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: HOF is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (90.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst HOF forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€2.02
€3.08
+52.4%
12.7%€3.67€2.56n/a6
Apr ’25€1.91
€3.05
+59.8%
12.4%€3.69€2.57n/a7
Mar ’25€1.98
€3.08
+55.4%
11.8%€3.69€2.58n/a7
Feb ’25€1.95
€3.08
+57.8%
11.8%€3.69€2.58n/a7
Jan ’25€1.88
€2.99
+59.2%
12.1%€3.62€2.53n/a7
Dec ’24€1.70
€2.99
+76.1%
12.1%€3.62€2.53n/a7
Nov ’24€1.64
€2.99
+82.6%
12.1%€3.62€2.53n/a7
Oct ’24€1.76
€3.11
+76.8%
9.9%€3.64€2.66n/a7
Sep ’24€1.66
€3.13
+88.4%
10.1%€3.68€2.69n/a7
Aug ’24€1.82
€3.19
+75.1%
7.6%€3.62€2.93n/a7
Jul ’24€1.84
€3.19
+73.2%
7.6%€3.62€2.93n/a7
Jun ’24€2.06
€3.19
+54.7%
7.6%€3.62€2.93n/a7
May ’24€2.20
€3.17
+44.2%
7.6%€3.57€2.89€1.996
Apr ’24€2.16
€3.20
+48.3%
8.1%€3.58€2.90€1.915
Mar ’24€2.56
€3.34
+30.5%
3.8%€3.53€3.14€1.985
Feb ’24€2.36
€3.38
+43.2%
3.8%€3.57€3.18€1.955
Jan ’24€2.60
€3.52
+35.3%
2.5%€3.66€3.43€1.884
Dec ’23€2.72
€3.47
+27.6%
0.8%€3.49€3.43€1.703
Nov ’23€2.52
€3.37
+33.8%
3.7%€3.49€3.20€1.643
Oct ’23€1.90
€4.47
+135.1%
18.8%€5.88€3.68€1.764
Sep ’23€2.26
€4.47
+97.6%
18.8%€5.88€3.68€1.664
Aug ’23€2.94
€4.22
+43.5%
4.8%€4.49€4.02€1.823
Jul ’23€2.84
€4.46
+57.1%
8.0%€4.93€4.06€1.843
Jun ’23€3.70
€5.04
+36.3%
10.8%€5.86€4.32€2.064
May ’23€3.80
€5.13
+35.0%
10.4%€5.94€4.44€2.204

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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