Boab Metals Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Boab Metals is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 52.4% and 52.8% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 53.8% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 70.5% in 3 years.

Key information

52.4%

Earnings growth rate

53.8%

EPS growth rate

Metals and Mining earnings growth	28.9%
Revenue growth rate	52.8%
Future return on equity	70.5%
Analyst coverage	Low
Last updated	16 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

DB:GMWA - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (AUD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
6/30/2027	368	116	110	147	1
6/30/2026	N/A	-4	-151	-1	1
6/30/2025	N/A	-2	-83	-3	1
6/30/2024	0	-3	-4	-4	N/A
3/31/2024	0	-4	-4	-4	N/A
12/31/2023	0	-5	-5	-5	N/A
9/30/2023	0	-6	-6	-5	N/A
6/30/2023	0	-6	-7	-5	N/A
3/31/2023	0	-6	-7	-5	N/A
12/31/2022	0	-6	-7	-5	N/A
9/30/2022	0	-6	-7	-6	N/A
6/30/2022	0	-7	-7	-6	N/A
3/31/2022	0	-7	-7	-7	N/A
12/31/2021	1	-7	-7	-7	N/A
9/30/2021	1	-6	-6	-6	N/A
6/30/2021	1	-5	-5	-5	N/A
3/31/2021	0	-4	-4	-4	N/A
12/31/2020	0	-4	-3	-3	N/A
9/30/2020	0	-3	-3	-3	N/A
6/30/2020	0	-3	-3	-3	N/A
3/31/2020	0	-3	-5	-4	N/A
12/31/2019	0	-4	-7	-4	N/A
9/30/2019	0	-3	-7	-3	N/A
6/30/2019	0	-3	-6	-3	N/A
3/31/2019	0	-3	-4	-2	N/A
12/31/2018	0	-3	-2	-2	N/A
9/30/2018	0	-2	-2	-2	N/A
6/30/2018	0	-2	-2	-1	N/A
3/31/2018	0	-1	N/A	-1	N/A
12/31/2017	0	-1	N/A	-1	N/A
9/30/2017	0	-1	N/A	-1	N/A
6/30/2017	0	-2	N/A	-1	N/A
3/31/2017	0	-2	N/A	-1	N/A
12/31/2016	0	-2	N/A	-1	N/A
9/30/2016	0	-2	N/A	-2	N/A
6/30/2016	0	-2	N/A	-2	N/A
3/31/2016	0	-2	N/A	-2	N/A
12/31/2015	0	-2	N/A	-2	N/A
9/30/2015	0	-3	N/A	-2	N/A
6/30/2015	0	-3	N/A	-3	N/A
3/31/2015	0	-3	N/A	-3	N/A
12/31/2014	0	-4	N/A	-3	N/A
9/30/2014	0	-3	N/A	-3	N/A
6/30/2014	1	-3	N/A	-2	N/A
3/31/2014	0	-2	N/A	-2	N/A
12/31/2013	0	-1	N/A	-1	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: GMWA is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (1%).

Earnings vs Market: GMWA is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: GMWA is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: GMWA is forecast to have no revenue next year.

High Growth Revenue: GMWA is forecast to have no revenue next year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: GMWA's Return on Equity is forecast to be very high in 3 years time (70.5%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/26 05:06
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/23 00:00
Earnings	2024/06/30
Annual Earnings	2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Boab Metals Limited is covered by 1 analysts. 1 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Andrew Hines	Shaw and Partners Limited

Boab Metals Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Forecast breakeven date pushed back to 2027

Forecast breakeven date pushed back to 2026

Forecast breakeven date pushed back to 2025

Forecast to breakeven in 2024

Forecast to breakeven in 2024

Recent updates

Boab Metals Limited, Annual General Meeting, Nov 26, 2024

Full year 2024 earnings released: AU$0.018 loss per share (vs AU$0.036 loss in FY 2023)

New minor risk - Financial data availability

Forecast breakeven date pushed back to 2027

Boab Metals Limited has completed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of AUD 1.716942 million.

Now 37% overvalued

Forecast breakeven date pushed back to 2026

First half 2024 earnings released: AU$0.015 loss per share (vs AU$0.02 loss in 1H 2023)

New major risk - Market cap size

Full year 2023 earnings released: AU$0.036 loss per share (vs AU$0.044 loss in FY 2022)

Boab Metals Limited, Annual General Meeting, Nov 06, 2023

New major risk - Financial position

First half 2023 earnings released: AU$0.02 loss per share (vs AU$0.026 loss in 1H 2022)

Now 23% undervalued after recent price drop

Forecast breakeven date pushed back to 2025

Boab Metals Limited Announces Final Assay Results from the Phase VI Drilling Program

Boab Metals Limited Announces the Receipt of the First Lot of Assay Results from Its Phase Vi Drilling Program At Sorby Hills Lead-Silver-Zinc Project

Less than half of directors are independent

Boab Metals Limited Announces the Successful Completion of the Phase VI Drilling Program At Its 75% Owned Sorby Hills Lead-Silver-Zinc Project Located in the Kimberley Region of Western Australia

Boab Metals Limited Announces the Successful Completion of the Phase VI Drilling Program At Its 75% Owned Sorby Hills Lead-Silver-Zinc Project Located in the Kimberley Region of Western Australia

Full year 2022 earnings released: AU$0.044 loss per share (vs AU$0.036 loss in FY 2021)

Boab Metals Limited, Annual General Meeting, Oct 20, 2022

Boab Metals Limited Announces Commencement of Phase Vi Drilling Program At Its 75% Owned Sorby Hills Lead-Silver-Zinc Project Located in the Kimberley Region of Western Australia

Boab Metals Limited Provides Sorby Hills Project Execution Update

Less than half of directors are independent

First half 2022 earnings: Revenues and EPS in line with analyst expectations

Boab Metals Limited Provides Assay Results from the Phase V Reverse Circulation Drilling Program

Boab Metals Limited Reports A Mineral Resource Update for Its 75% Owned Sorby Hills Lead-Silver-Zinc Project in the Kimberley Region of Western Australia

Boab Metals Limited Provides an Update on the Financing Workstream for Its 75% Owned Sorby Hills Lead-Silver-Zinc Project Located in the Kimberley Region of Western Australia

Forecast to breakeven in 2024

Full year 2021 earnings released: AU$0.035 loss per share (vs AU$0.028 loss in FY 2020)

Boab Metals Limited (ASX:BML) completed the acquisition of Manbarrum Zn-Pb-Ag Project from Todd River Resources Limited (ASX:TRT).

Forecast to breakeven in 2024

Boab Metals Limited Announces Commencement of the Phase V Diamond Drilling Program at the Sorby Hills Lead-Silver-Zinc Project Located in the Kimberley Region of Western Australia

First half 2021 earnings released: AU$0.018 loss per share (vs AU$0.017 loss in 1H 2020)

Qimbaya Gold Inc. entered into share and asset sale agreement to acquire Golden Pacifico Exploration SAS from Boab Metals Limited (ASX:BML) for AUD 0.23 million.

Boab Metals Limited Announces Strong Demand Confirmed for Sorby Hills Lead-Silver Concentrate from Leading International Offtakers

Boab Metals to Investigate Sorby Hills Project Expansion

Boab Metals Limited Final Phase IV Drilling Results Confirm Further Opportunities for Resource Expansion

Boab Metals Limited Announces Commencement of Metallurgical and Geotechnical Testwork Programs for the Sorby Hills Definitive Feasibility Study

Boab Metals Limited Reports Further Impressive Assay Results from the Phase Iv Drilling Program At Its 75% Owned Sorby Hills Lead-Silver-Zinc Project

Boab Metals Limited Provides Sorby Hills Phase IV Drilling Results

Boab Metals Limited Provides Update in Relation to the Development of the Sorby Hills Lead-Silver-Zinc Project

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data Sources

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Industry and Sector Metrics

Analyst Sources