Evonik Industries Valuation

Is EVK undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of EVK when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: EVK (€17.69) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€43.1)

Significantly Below Fair Value: EVK is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for EVK?

Key metric: As EVK is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for EVK. This is calculated by dividing EVK's market cap by their current earnings.
What is EVK's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio35.9x
Earnings€229.00m
Market Cap€8.22b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does EVK's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for EVK vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average22x
SY1 Symrise
36.9x12.6%€14.5b
WCH Wacker Chemie
29.4x38.0%€3.6b
ACT AlzChem Group
11.7x12.6%€586.2m
UZU Uzin Utz
10.2x2.1%€243.1m
EVK Evonik Industries
35.9x33.1%€8.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: EVK is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.9x) compared to the peer average (22x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does EVK's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Chemicals Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
EVK 35.9xIndustry Avg. 17.1xNo. of Companies11PE01224364860+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: EVK is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.9x) compared to the European Chemicals industry average (17.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is EVK's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

EVK PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio35.9x
Fair PE Ratio23.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: EVK is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst EVK forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€17.69
€22.48
+27.1%
12.1%€26.00€16.60n/a16
Nov ’25€20.21
€22.96
+13.6%
9.6%€26.00€19.90n/a16
Oct ’25€20.99
€22.49
+7.2%
9.8%€26.00€19.00n/a16
Sep ’25€19.99
€22.46
+12.4%
9.9%€26.00€19.00n/a16
Aug ’25€19.14
€22.46
+17.4%
9.8%€26.00€19.00n/a16
Jul ’25€18.90
€21.79
+15.3%
10.6%€25.00€17.50n/a17
Jun ’25€20.20
€21.84
+8.1%
10.7%€25.00€17.50n/a18
May ’25€19.49
€20.70
+6.2%
13.0%€25.00€17.00n/a18
Apr ’25€18.40
€20.22
+9.9%
14.3%€25.00€17.00n/a18
Mar ’25€17.25
€20.28
+17.6%
14.8%€25.00€16.00n/a18
Feb ’25€17.19
€20.28
+18.0%
14.8%€25.00€16.00n/a18
Jan ’25€18.50
€20.49
+10.8%
15.4%€26.00€16.00n/a18
Dec ’24€17.35
€20.64
+18.9%
15.4%€26.00€16.00n/a17
Nov ’24€17.43
€20.28
+16.4%
15.4%€26.00€16.50€20.2118
Oct ’24€17.33
€20.56
+18.6%
15.5%€26.00€16.50€20.9918
Sep ’24€17.90
€20.32
+13.5%
16.3%€26.00€15.00€19.9919
Aug ’24€18.75
€20.55
+9.6%
15.3%€26.00€15.00€19.1419
Jul ’24€17.39
€21.82
+25.5%
16.3%€29.00€15.00€18.9020
Jun ’24€17.69
€22.59
+27.7%
16.1%€29.00€15.00€20.2020
May ’24€19.80
€23.28
+17.6%
18.1%€31.00€15.00€19.4920
Apr ’24€19.36
€23.43
+21.0%
18.2%€31.00€15.00€18.4020
Mar ’24€20.15
€23.44
+16.3%
18.9%€30.00€15.00€17.2520
Feb ’24€20.62
€23.49
+13.9%
18.1%€30.00€15.00€17.1920
Jan ’24€17.91
€24.04
+34.2%
19.5%€34.00€15.00€18.5020
Dec ’23€18.63
€24.45
+31.3%
18.7%€34.00€16.50€17.3520
Nov ’23€18.49
€24.92
+34.8%
20.6%€36.00€16.50€17.4320

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


Discover undervalued companies