Berry Global Group Valuation

Is BP0 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BP0 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BP0 (€53) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€134.37)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BP0 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BP0?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

BP0 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA8x
PEG Ratio0.9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BP0's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BP0 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average27x
WCH Wacker Chemie
23.4x29.8%€5.0b
FPE3 Fuchs
20.2x9.0%€5.2b
NDA Aurubis
23.1x33.6%€3.3b
SY1 Symrise
41.3x15.6%€14.1b
BP0 Berry Global Group
11.7x13.4%€6.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BP0 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.7x) compared to the peer average (27x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BP0's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Packaging Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a11.9%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a11.9%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BP0 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.7x) compared to the European Packaging industry average (13.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BP0's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BP0 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.7x
Fair PE Ratio17.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: BP0 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BP0 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€53.00
€68.08
+28.4%
10.2%€83.14€57.92n/a11
Apr ’25€56.00
€68.07
+21.5%
10.4%€82.21€57.27n/a11
Mar ’25€53.00
€69.83
+31.8%
8.6%€82.61€59.40n/a11
Feb ’25€60.50
€71.12
+17.6%
7.3%€81.78€61.57n/a14
Jan ’25€61.50
€66.96
+8.9%
4.1%€72.04€60.33n/a14
Dec ’24€60.50
€66.84
+10.5%
5.0%€72.82€60.08n/a14
Nov ’24€52.50
€68.76
+31.0%
7.1%€78.41€60.46n/a14
Oct ’24€59.00
€69.52
+17.8%
6.8%€80.49€60.83n/a14
Sep ’24€60.00
€68.35
+13.9%
6.5%€79.08€59.77n/a15
Aug ’24€59.00
€67.18
+13.9%
7.5%€79.21€59.18n/a14
Jul ’24€59.00
€66.19
+12.2%
4.8%€69.93€59.81n/a15
Jun ’24€53.00
€66.26
+25.0%
6.2%€70.68€55.80n/a16
May ’24€52.00
€64.47
+24.0%
6.6%€68.82€54.33€53.0015
Apr ’24€53.00
€67.05
+26.5%
7.8%€75.60€55.31€56.0015
Mar ’24€58.50
€67.50
+15.4%
7.9%€76.48€55.96€53.0016
Feb ’24€55.50
€62.47
+12.6%
8.3%€71.00€54.62€60.5016
Jan ’24€55.50
€63.83
+15.0%
11.2%€77.17€48.94€61.5017
Dec ’23€57.00
€64.98
+14.0%
11.0%€78.77€49.95€60.5017
Nov ’23€47.20
€68.41
+44.9%
11.1%€83.14€52.72€52.5017
Oct ’23€48.00
€69.74
+45.3%
7.3%€80.47€59.87€59.0017
Sep ’23€53.50
€69.74
+30.3%
7.3%€80.47€59.87€60.0017
Aug ’23€55.50
€70.10
+26.3%
7.3%€80.57€59.93€59.0017
Jul ’23€51.00
€69.13
+35.5%
8.2%€79.80€57.95€59.0017
Jun ’23€54.00
€67.79
+25.5%
8.2%€78.26€56.83€53.0017
May ’23€55.00
€72.49
+31.8%
7.7%€81.58€60.26€52.0017

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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