Asahi Kasei Valuation

Is ASA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ASA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ASA (€13.3) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€19.49)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ASA is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ASA?

Key metric: As ASA is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ASA. This is calculated by dividing ASA's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ASA's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio20.8x
EarningsJP¥73.21b
Market CapJP¥1.52t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ASA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ASA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average25.8x
FPE3 Fuchs
19.1x8.7%€5.0b
SIM0 SIMONA
10.9xn/a€357.0m
EVK Evonik Industries
36x33.1%€8.2b
SY1 Symrise
37.3x13.2%€14.6b
ASA Asahi Kasei
20.8x18.3%€1.5t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ASA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.8x) compared to the peer average (25.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ASA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Chemicals Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ASA 20.8xIndustry Avg. 17.1xNo. of Companies12PE01224364860+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ASA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.8x) compared to the European Chemicals industry average (17.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ASA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ASA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio20.8x
Fair PE Ratio18.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ASA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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