AMAG Austria Metall Valuation

Is AM8 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AM8 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AM8 (€22.7) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€35.75)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AM8 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AM8?

Key metric: As AM8 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for AM8. This is calculated by dividing AM8's market cap by their current earnings.
What is AM8's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio15.9x
Earnings€50.99m
Market Cap€811.07m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does AM8's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for AM8 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12.6x
STO3 Sto SE KGaA
11x3.5%€723.6m
ACT AlzChem Group
12.1x12.6%€606.5m
EIS Eisen- und Hüttenwerke
18.5xn/a€202.4m
NDA Aurubis
9x-6.2%€3.4b
AM8 AMAG Austria Metall
15.9x16.4%€811.1m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AM8 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.9x) compared to the peer average (12.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AM8's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Metals and Mining Industry?

15 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AM8 15.9xIndustry Avg. 12.1xNo. of Companies15PE0816243240+
15 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AM8 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.9x) compared to the European Metals and Mining industry average (12.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AM8's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AM8 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio15.9x
Fair PE Ratio13.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: AM8 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AM8 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€22.70
€32.25
+42.1%
5.4%€34.00€30.50n/a2
Nov ’25€24.60
€32.25
+31.1%
5.4%€34.00€30.50n/a2
Oct ’25€23.50
€32.25
+37.2%
5.4%€34.00€30.50n/a2
Sep ’25€23.80
€32.25
+35.5%
5.4%€34.00€30.50n/a2
Aug ’25€24.60
€32.25
+31.1%
5.4%€34.00€30.50n/a2
Jul ’25€25.60
€32.25
+26.0%
5.4%€34.00€30.50n/a2
Jun ’25€26.60
€32.25
+21.2%
5.4%€34.00€30.50n/a2
May ’25€26.60
€33.40
+25.6%
1.8%€34.00€32.80n/a2
Apr ’25€26.90
€33.40
+24.2%
1.8%€34.00€32.80n/a2
Mar ’25€27.60
€33.40
+21.0%
1.8%€34.00€32.80n/a2
Feb ’25€28.00
€33.40
+19.3%
1.8%€34.00€32.80n/a2
Jan ’25€26.20
€36.40
+38.9%
9.9%€40.00€32.80n/a2
Dec ’24€26.60
€36.40
+36.8%
9.9%€40.00€32.80n/a2
Nov ’24€28.40
€36.40
+28.2%
9.9%€40.00€32.80€24.602
Oct ’24€28.00
€36.60
+30.7%
8.1%€40.00€32.80€23.503
Sep ’24€30.30
€36.60
+20.8%
8.1%€40.00€32.80€23.803
Aug ’24€30.80
€36.60
+18.8%
8.1%€40.00€32.80€24.603
Jul ’24€32.10
€35.33
+10.1%
13.1%€40.00€29.00€25.603
Jun ’24€32.90
€35.33
+7.4%
13.1%€40.00€29.00€26.603
May ’24€33.80
€35.33
+4.5%
13.1%€40.00€29.00€26.603
Apr ’24€35.80
€35.33
-1.3%
13.1%€40.00€29.00€26.903
Mar ’24€36.20
€35.00
-3.3%
13.0%€40.00€29.00€27.603
Feb ’24€34.20
€35.00
+2.3%
13.0%€40.00€29.00€28.003
Jan ’24€33.70
€35.00
+3.9%
13.0%€40.00€29.00€26.203
Dec ’23€33.60
€35.00
+4.2%
13.0%€40.00€29.00€26.603
Nov ’23€29.70
€35.00
+17.8%
13.0%€40.00€29.00€28.403

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.


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