Summit Materials Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Summit Materials is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 44% and 8% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 43.7% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 8% in 3 years.

Key information

44.0%

Earnings growth rate

43.7%

EPS growth rate

Basic Materials earnings growth	12.3%
Revenue growth rate	8.0%
Future return on equity	8.0%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	21 Nov 2024

Recent future growth updates

No updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

DB:7SU - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	4,536	433	496	863	9
12/31/2025	4,287	352	390	777	12
12/31/2024	3,990	214	255	676	11
9/28/2024	3,755	147	169	539	N/A
6/29/2024	3,378	272	130	456	N/A
3/30/2024	2,989	250	126	398	N/A
12/30/2023	2,619	286	183	439	N/A
9/30/2023	2,512	313	136	396	N/A
7/1/2023	2,470	169	98	362	N/A
4/1/2023	2,427	276	29	301	N/A
12/31/2022	2,413	272	17	284	N/A
10/1/2022	2,457	286	56	287	N/A
7/2/2022	2,421	274	95	304	N/A
4/2/2022	2,403	140	167	367	N/A
1/1/2022	2,410	152	150	362	N/A
10/2/2021	2,438	143	191	398	N/A
7/3/2021	2,430	160	218	422	N/A
4/3/2021	2,393	159	241	426	N/A
1/2/2021	2,332	138	232	409	N/A
9/26/2020	2,264	138	214	391	N/A
6/27/2020	2,287	103	205	383	N/A
3/28/2020	2,257	85	152	329	N/A
12/28/2019	2,222	59	160	337	N/A
9/28/2019	2,157	4	126	303	N/A
6/29/2019	2,119	20	64	259	N/A
3/30/2019	2,119	19	-3	230	N/A
12/29/2018	2,101	34	-11	209	N/A
9/29/2018	2,100	96	0	230	N/A
6/30/2018	2,040	106	N/A	247	N/A
3/31/2018	1,963	121	N/A	286	N/A
12/30/2017	1,933	122	N/A	292	N/A
9/30/2017	1,866	79	N/A	293	N/A
7/1/2017	1,761	42	N/A	283	N/A
4/1/2017	1,682	5	N/A	241	N/A
12/31/2016	1,626	37	N/A	245	N/A
10/1/2016	1,605	59	N/A	201	N/A
7/2/2016	1,547	29	N/A	152	N/A
4/2/2016	1,467	14	N/A	118	N/A
1/2/2016	1,432	25	N/A	98	N/A
9/26/2015	1,365	-5	N/A	72	N/A
6/27/2015	1,288	-20	N/A	45	N/A
3/28/2015	1,247	-19	N/A	68	N/A
12/27/2014	1,204	-9	N/A	79	N/A
9/27/2014	1,108	-73	N/A	55	N/A
6/28/2014	1,030	-52	N/A	68	N/A
3/29/2014	886	-79	N/A	40	N/A
12/28/2013	916	-106	N/A	66	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: 7SU's forecast earnings growth (44% per year) is above the savings rate (1%).

Earnings vs Market: 7SU's earnings (44% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the German market (21.1% per year).

High Growth Earnings: 7SU's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: 7SU's revenue (8% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the German market (5.6% per year).

High Growth Revenue: 7SU's revenue (8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: 7SU's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (8%).

Summit Materials Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Quikrete Reportedly Is in Advanced Talks to Acquire Summit Materials

Third quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: US$0.60 (vs US$1.93 in 3Q 2023)

Summit Materials, Inc. to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Oct 30, 2024

Second quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: US$0.60 (vs US$0.70 in 2Q 2023)

Summit Materials, Inc. to Report Q2, 2024 Results on Aug 05, 2024

First quarter 2024 earnings released: US$0.40 loss per share (vs US$0.26 loss in 1Q 2023)

Summit Materials, Inc. to Report Q1, 2024 Results on May 01, 2024

Summit Materials, Inc., Annual General Meeting, May 21, 2024

New minor risk - Earnings quality

Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: US$2.40 (vs US$2.27 in FY 2022)

Summit Materials, Inc. to Report Q4, 2023 Results on Feb 14, 2024

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

New minor risk - Shareholder dilution

Summit Materials Announces Executive Appointments

Summit Materials, Inc. Announces Management Changes

Summit Materials, Inc. (NYSE:SUM) completed the acquisition of Argos USA Corporation from Cementos Argos S.A. (BVC:CEMARGOS), Argos SEM LLC and Valle Cement Investments, Inc.

Summit Materials, Inc. Appoints Marshall Moore as EVP, Chief Operations Officer

Third quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: US$1.93 (vs US$0.72 in 3Q 2022)

Summit Materials, Inc. to Report Q3, 2023 Results on Nov 01, 2023

Insufficient new directors

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 15%

Summit Materials, Inc. (NYSE:SUM) entered into an agreement to acquire Argos USA Corporation from Cementos Argos S.A. (BVC:CEMARGOS), Argos SEM LLC and Valle Cement Investments, Inc. in a transaction valued at $3.2 billion.

Summit Materials, Inc. (NYSE:SUM) entered into an agreement to acquire Argos USA Corporation from Cementos Argos S.A. (BVC:CEMARGOS), Argos SEM LLC and Valle Cement Investments, Inc. in a transaction valued at $3.2 billion.

New minor risk - Profit margin trend

Second quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: US$0.70 (vs US$1.58 in 2Q 2022)

Summit Materials, Inc. to Report Q2, 2023 Results on Aug 02, 2023

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 17%

First quarter 2023 earnings released: US$0.26 loss per share (vs US$0.28 loss in 1Q 2022)

Full year 2022 earnings released: EPS: US$2.30 (vs US$1.27 in FY 2021)

Summit Materials, Inc. to Report Q4, 2022 Results on Feb 15, 2023

Summit Materials, Inc. Announces Karli Anderson as Executive Vice President, Chief People and ESG Officer and Head of Communications

Summit Materials, Inc. Announces Changes to Its Board

Third quarter 2022 earnings released: EPS: US$0.73 (vs US$0.63 in 3Q 2021)

Summit Materials, Inc. to Report Q3, 2022 Results on Nov 02, 2022

Summit Materials, Inc. Announces the Retirement of Brian J. Harris as Chief Financial Officer

Second quarter 2022 earnings released: EPS: US$1.61 (vs US$0.48 in 2Q 2021)

Summit Materials, Inc. to Report Q2, 2022 Results on Aug 03, 2022

Executive VP recently sold €209k worth of stock

Summit Materials Appoints Kekin Ghelani as Chief Strategy and Growth Officer

First quarter 2022 earnings released: US$0.29 loss per share (vs US$0.20 loss in 1Q 2021)

An known buyer acquired One Business in the East Segment from Summit Materials, Inc. (NYSE:SUM) for $47.8 million.

Summit Materials, Inc. to Report Q1, 2022 Results on May 04, 2022

Summit Materials, Inc., Annual General Meeting, May 18, 2022

Summit Materials, Inc. (NYSE:SUM) announces an Equity Buyback for $250 million worth of its shares.

Summit Materials, Inc. Announces Executive Changes, Effective March 1, 2022

Full year 2021 earnings: Revenues and EPS in line with analyst expectations

Independent Director recently sold €168k worth of stock

Third quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS US$0.63 (vs US$0.80 in 3Q 2020)

Second quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS US$0.48 (vs US$0.50 in 2Q 2020)

First quarter 2021 earnings released: US$0.19 loss per share (vs US$0.40 loss in 1Q 2020)

Executive VP, Chief Legal Officer & Secretary has left the company

Independent Chairman recently sold €558k worth of stock

Summit Materials, Inc. Announces Anne Lee Benedict, Executive Vice President, Chief Legal Officer and Secretary, Intends to Depart from the Company

Full year 2020 earnings released: EPS US$1.21 (vs US$0.53 in FY 2019)

Revenue beats expectations

New 90-day high: €20.20

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Summit Materials, Inc. to Report Q4, 2020 Results on Feb 24, 2021

New 90-day high: €19.50

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

HeidelbergCement Reportedly Explores US Assets Sale

Independent Director recently bought €82k worth of stock

New 90-day high: €17.00

Third quarter earnings released

Third-quarter earnings released: Revenue misses expectations

Summit Materials, Inc. to Report Q3, 2020 Results on Oct 27, 2020

New 90-day high: €16.60

President recently bought €853k worth of stock

Summit Materials, Inc. (NYSE:SUM) acquired Multisources Sand & Gravel.

Summit Materials, Inc. Announces Executive Changes, Effective September 1, 2020

New 90-day high - €15.80

Summit Materials, Inc. to Report Q2, 2020 Results on Jul 21, 2020

Summit Materials, Inc.(NYSE:SUM) dropped from Russell 3000 Growth Index

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts