SCG Packaging Public Company Limited

DB:5Y7 Stock Report

Market Cap: €2.6b

SCG Packaging Valuation

Is 5Y7 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 5Y7 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 5Y7 (€0.57) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€0.7)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 5Y7 is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 5Y7?

Key metric: As 5Y7 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 5Y7. This is calculated by dividing 5Y7's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 5Y7's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio19.2x
Earnings฿4.97b
Market Cap฿95.73b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 5Y7's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 5Y7 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average33.7x
NDA Aurubis
8.8x-6.2%€3.3b
WCH Wacker Chemie
28x37.0%€3.5b
SDF K+S
78.9x61.1%€2.0b
FPE3 Fuchs
19.1x8.7%€5.1b
5Y7 SCG Packaging
19.2x11.1%€95.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 5Y7 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.2x) compared to the peer average (33.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 5Y7's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Packaging Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
5Y7 19.2xIndustry Avg. 18.5xNo. of Companies6PE01020304050+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 5Y7 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.2x) compared to the European Packaging industry average (18.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 5Y7's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

5Y7 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio19.2x
Fair PE Ratio16.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 5Y7 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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