Clearwater Paper Corporation

DB:5WC Stock Report

Market Cap: €426.2m

Clearwater Paper Valuation

Is 5WC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 5WC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 5WC (€25.2) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€11.53)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 5WC is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 5WC?

Key metric: As 5WC is barely profitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 5WC. This is calculated by dividing 5WC's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 5WC's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.2x
SalesUS$2.21b
Market CapUS$443.85m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 5WC's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 5WC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.7x
SIM0 SIMONA
0.6xn/a€357.0m
ACT AlzChem Group
1.1x7.5%€594.3m
UZU Uzin Utz
0.5x4.3%€250.2m
STO3 Sto SE KGaA
0.4x1.8%€730.0m
5WC Clearwater Paper
0.2x-16.2%€443.8m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 5WC is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the peer average (0.7x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 5WC's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Forestry Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
5WC 0.2xIndustry Avg. 0.7xNo. of Companies7PS00.40.81.21.62+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 5WC is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the European Forestry industry average (0.7x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 5WC's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

5WC PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.2x
Fair PS Ratio0.1x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 5WC is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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