Orbia Advance Corporation, S.A.B. de C.V.

DB:4FZ Stock Report

Market Cap: €3.0b

Orbia Advance Corporation. de Valuation

Is 4FZ undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4FZ when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 4FZ (€1.54) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€1.57)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4FZ is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4FZ?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

4FZ key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA6.9x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 4FZ's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 4FZ vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1x
FPE3 Fuchs
1.6x3.0%€5.2b
SIM0 SIMONA
0.7xn/a€393.0m
LXS LANXESS
0.3x2.6%€2.3b
IBU IBU-tec advanced materials
1.2x19.1%€59.9m
4FZ Orbia Advance Corporation. de
0.4x7.2%€54.9b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 4FZ is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the peer average (1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 4FZ's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Chemicals Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a34.2%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a34.2%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 4FZ is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the European Chemicals industry average (1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4FZ's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4FZ PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.4x
Fair PS Ratio0.6x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 4FZ is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 4FZ forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€1.54
€2.95
+91.7%
23.9%€4.37€2.11n/a13
Apr ’25€1.89
€3.02
+59.8%
22.7%€4.32€2.09n/a14
Mar ’25€1.66
€3.01
+81.2%
22.0%€4.30€2.24n/a14
Feb ’25€1.87
€3.02
+61.2%
20.8%€4.51€2.24n/a14
Jan ’25€1.94
€2.99
+54.3%
20.8%€4.48€2.22n/a14
Dec ’24€2.06
€3.00
+45.7%
21.0%€4.51€2.24n/a14
Nov ’24€1.49
€3.09
+107.7%
20.6%€4.66€2.32n/a14
Oct ’24€1.97
€3.36
+70.7%
22.2%€5.08€2.32n/a13
Sep ’24€2.06
€3.31
+60.5%
22.1%€4.99€2.27n/a13
Aug ’24€2.06
€3.20
+55.5%
22.3%€4.87€2.35n/a13
Jul ’24€1.98
€3.13
+58.1%
22.3%€4.72€2.36n/a13
Jun ’24€1.90
€3.12
+64.1%
23.1%€4.65€2.09n/a13
May ’24€2.06
€3.02
+46.4%
22.6%€4.54€2.04€1.5414
Apr ’24€1.97
€2.96
+50.4%
21.5%€4.50€2.07€1.8914
Mar ’24€1.93
€3.05
+58.3%
21.9%€4.60€2.11€1.6614
Feb ’24€1.80
€2.85
+58.1%
20.8%€4.20€1.87€1.8714
Jan ’24€1.69
€2.85
+68.7%
21.5%€4.30€1.91€1.9414
Dec ’23€1.89
€3.00
+58.6%
16.6%€3.81€2.06€2.0615
Nov ’23€1.76
€3.02
+71.4%
17.1%€3.87€2.09€1.4914
Oct ’23€1.76
€3.09
+75.6%
15.8%€3.82€2.07€1.9714
Sep ’23€1.89
€2.97
+57.4%
16.0%€3.66€2.02€2.0614
Aug ’23€2.12
€3.06
+44.4%
12.2%€3.62€2.38€2.0614
Jul ’23€2.20
€3.11
+41.2%
9.8%€3.53€2.47€1.9815
Jun ’23€2.52
€3.02
+19.7%
9.1%€3.43€2.49€1.9015
May ’23€2.24
€3.08
+37.4%
9.5%€3.56€2.54€2.0615

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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