Industrias Peñoles, S.A.B. de C.V.

DB:4FO Stock Report

Market Cap: €5.7b

Industrias Peñoles. de Valuation

Is 4FO undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4FO when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 4FO (€14.1) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€15.98)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4FO is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4FO?

Key metric: As 4FO is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 4FO. This is calculated by dividing 4FO's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 4FO's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio68.8x
EarningsUS$83.65m
Market CapUS$5.98b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 4FO's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 4FO vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average23.2x
NDA Aurubis
8.9x-6.2%€3.3b
FPE3 Fuchs
19.1x8.7%€5.0b
EVK Evonik Industries
36x33.1%€8.2b
WCH Wacker Chemie
28.9x37.0%€3.6b
4FO Industrias Peñoles. de
68.8xn/a€121.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 4FO is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (68.8x) compared to the peer average (23.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 4FO's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Metals and Mining Industry?

14 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
4FO 68.8xIndustry Avg. 11.8xNo. of Companies14PE0816243240+
14 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 4FO is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (68.8x) compared to the European Metals and Mining industry average (12.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4FO's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4FO PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio68.8x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 4FO's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 4FO forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€14.10
€12.17
-13.7%
24.2%€17.51€9.13n/a5
Nov ’25€14.10
€12.17
-13.7%
24.2%€17.51€9.13n/a5
Oct ’25€11.70
€11.15
-4.7%
14.1%€13.47€9.29n/a4
Sep ’25€10.60
€11.57
+9.1%
14.8%€13.87€9.57n/a5
Aug ’25€13.30
€11.50
-13.6%
11.7%€13.76€9.87n/a5
Jul ’25€12.30
€11.85
-3.7%
11.7%€14.18€10.17n/a5
Jun ’25€14.20
€12.87
-9.4%
11.7%€15.40€11.04n/a5
May ’25€15.80
€12.87
-18.6%
11.7%€15.40€11.04n/a5
Apr ’25€12.90
€12.85
-0.4%
13.9%€15.56€10.32n/a6
Mar ’25€12.10
€12.54
+3.7%
19.8%€17.24€9.90n/a6
Feb ’25€12.00
€12.54
+4.5%
19.8%€17.24€9.90n/a6
Jan ’25€13.20
€12.59
-4.6%
19.2%€17.18€9.87n/a6
Dec ’24€13.30
€12.31
-7.4%
19.2%€16.80€9.65n/a6
Nov ’24€10.40
€12.31
+18.4%
19.2%€16.80€9.65€14.106
Oct ’24€11.30
€13.26
+17.4%
20.0%€17.67€10.15€11.706
Sep ’24€13.00
€13.71
+5.5%
16.3%€17.18€10.67€10.605
Aug ’24€12.80
€13.83
+8.1%
16.5%€17.31€10.75€13.305
Jul ’24€12.70
€13.83
+8.9%
16.5%€17.31€10.75€12.305
Jun ’24€14.20
€13.60
-4.2%
13.7%€16.64€11.37€14.205
May ’24€13.80
€12.97
-6.0%
12.9%€16.05€10.97€15.805
Apr ’24€13.80
€12.97
-6.0%
12.9%€16.05€10.97€12.905
Mar ’24€11.10
€13.59
+22.4%
20.0%€17.96€10.84€12.106
Feb ’24€13.20
€13.12
-0.6%
18.0%€16.81€10.15€12.006
Jan ’24€12.30
€13.12
+6.7%
18.0%€16.81€10.15€13.206
Dec ’23€13.00
€13.52
+4.0%
23.4%€17.88€9.71€13.306
Nov ’23€12.10
€13.52
+11.8%
23.4%€17.88€9.71€10.406

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

Discover undervalued companies

UBE

JP¥241.7b

Engages in the chemicals, construction materials, and machinery businesses in Japan, North America, Europe, Africa, the Middle East, Thailand, India, Latin America, and internationally.

UBE

JP¥15.30

7D

8.5%

1Y

7.7%

Tokuyama

JP¥197.6b

Produces and sells various chemical products in Japan.

TBT

JP¥16.70

7D

5.0%

1Y

16.0%

Mitsubishi Chemical Group

JP¥1.2t

Provides performance products, chemicals, industrial gases, health care products, and other products in Japan and internationally.

M3C

JP¥5.27

7D

2.9%

1Y

-8.1%