Stock Analysis
These 4 Measures Indicate That K+S (ETR:SDF) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies K+S Aktiengesellschaft (ETR:SDF) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
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What Is K+S's Debt?
As you can see below, K+S had €314.2m of debt at September 2023, down from €854.6m a year prior. However, its balance sheet shows it holds €754.7m in cash, so it actually has €440.5m net cash.
How Strong Is K+S' Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that K+S had liabilities of €1.05b falling due within a year, and liabilities of €1.68b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of €754.7m as well as receivables valued at €754.9m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total €1.22b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
K+S has a market capitalization of €2.36b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, K+S boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
Although K+S made a loss at the EBIT level, last year, it was also good to see that it generated €996m in EBIT over the last twelve months. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if K+S can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. K+S may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. In the last year, K+S's free cash flow amounted to 44% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.
Summing Up
Although K+S's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of €440.5m. So we don't have any problem with K+S's use of debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for K+S (1 is potentially serious) you should be aware of.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About XTRA:SDF
K+S
Operates as a supplier of mineral products for the agricultural, industrial, consumer, and community sectors worldwide.