W. R. Berkley Valuation

Is WR1 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of WR1 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: WR1 (€73.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€177.65)

Significantly Below Fair Value: WR1 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for WR1?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

WR1 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.8x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA11.5x
PEG Ratio3.1x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does WR1's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for WR1 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12.9x
TLX Talanx
11.5x5.9%€18.2b
HNR1 Hannover Rück
15.3x9.6%€28.0b
MUV2 Münchener Rückversicherungs-Gesellschaft in München
12.5x6.3%€57.6b
ALV Allianz
12.4x7.5%€103.9b
WR1 W. R. Berkley
13.1x4.2%€20.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: WR1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.1x) compared to the peer average (12.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does WR1's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Insurance Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a7.5%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a7.5%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: WR1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.1x) compared to the European Insurance industry average (11.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is WR1's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

WR1 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13.1x
Fair PE Ratio10.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: WR1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst WR1 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€73.50
€82.12
+11.7%
9.7%€94.37€66.34n/a13
Apr ’25€81.34
€77.88
-4.3%
10.1%€87.55€59.90n/a13
Mar ’25€77.12
€77.88
+1.0%
10.1%€87.55€59.90n/a13
Feb ’25€75.34
€77.58
+3.0%
10.2%€87.62€59.95n/a13
Jan ’25€63.22
€69.37
+9.7%
9.0%€78.74€57.43n/a13
Dec ’24€66.10
€67.92
+2.8%
9.5%€77.93€56.84n/a12
Nov ’24€63.76
€69.62
+9.2%
9.1%€80.43€58.66n/a12
Oct ’24€61.12
€66.82
+9.3%
8.7%€76.32€57.01n/a12
Sep ’24€56.78
€66.82
+17.7%
8.7%€76.32€57.01n/a12
Aug ’24€55.70
€65.25
+17.1%
8.7%€74.61€55.73n/a12
Jul ’24€54.00
€69.52
+28.7%
8.5%€78.38€58.79n/a12
Jun ’24€51.74
€69.52
+34.4%
8.5%€78.38€58.79n/a12
May ’24€52.10
€68.36
+31.2%
8.2%€76.23€57.17n/a12
Apr ’24€56.50
€76.03
+34.6%
9.2%€83.20€56.73€81.3412
Mar ’24€62.00
€74.83
+20.7%
9.1%€81.13€55.31€77.1212
Feb ’24€64.00
€74.83
+16.9%
9.1%€81.13€55.31€75.3412
Jan ’24€68.50
€75.10
+9.6%
9.1%€83.37€56.84€63.2211
Dec ’23€72.50
€74.97
+3.4%
8.9%€83.60€57.00€66.1012
Nov ’23€75.50
€78.71
+4.3%
9.4%€86.05€57.71€63.7612
Oct ’23€66.00
€76.04
+15.2%
10.9%€83.59€53.38€61.1212
Sep ’23€64.00
€74.96
+17.1%
10.8%€82.68€52.80€56.7812
Aug ’23€59.00
€73.26
+24.2%
10.8%€81.34€51.94€55.7012
Jul ’23€64.50
€70.02
+8.6%
10.2%€78.53€50.15€54.0013
Jun ’23€66.50
€68.87
+3.6%
10.4%€77.65€49.59€51.7413
May ’23€65.00
€69.74
+7.3%
10.4%€78.63€50.21€52.1013
Apr ’23€61.00
€59.23
-2.9%
10.4%€67.91€45.88€56.5013

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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