The People's Insurance Company (Group) of China Limited

DB:PIR Stock Report

Market Cap: €26.7b

People's Insurance Company (Group) of China Valuation

Is PIR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PIR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: PIR (€0.27) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€1.62)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PIR is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PIR?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

PIR key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.7x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA11.2x
PEG Ratio0.4x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does PIR's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for PIR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12.6x
HNR1 Hannover Rück
15.2x9.7%€27.7b
TLX Talanx
11.3x5.9%€17.9b
MUV2 Münchener Rückversicherungs-Gesellschaft in München
11.7x6.1%€53.9b
ALV Allianz
12.3x7.5%€102.9b
PIR People's Insurance Company (Group) of China
5.5x14.1%€224.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: PIR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.5x) compared to the peer average (12.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does PIR's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Insurance Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a7.4%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a7.4%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PIR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.5x) compared to the European Insurance industry average (11.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PIR's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PIR PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio5.5x
Fair PE Ratio5.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: PIR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PIR forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€0.27
€0.39
+44.8%
13.9%€0.51€0.29n/a17
Apr ’25€0.26
€0.39
+50.6%
14.4%€0.51€0.29n/a16
Mar ’25€0.27
€0.38
+42.0%
15.1%€0.48€0.27n/a15
Feb ’25€0.25
€0.38
+52.0%
16.3%€0.49€0.27n/a15
Jan ’25€0.24
€0.40
+66.0%
17.6%€0.58€0.27n/a16
Dec ’24€0.29
€0.41
+42.0%
17.4%€0.58€0.27n/a16
Nov ’24€0.30
€0.41
+35.4%
17.7%€0.58€0.27n/a14
Oct ’24€0.33
€0.42
+27.8%
17.1%€0.59€0.27n/a14
Sep ’24€0.30
€0.40
+33.2%
17.7%€0.57€0.27n/a16
Aug ’24€0.33
€0.39
+17.9%
18.7%€0.57€0.26n/a18
Jul ’24€0.32
€0.40
+24.7%
18.7%€0.60€0.27n/a18
Jun ’24€0.34
€0.40
+16.7%
16.4%€0.52€0.27n/a18
May ’24€0.34
€0.38
+11.4%
16.4%€0.52€0.27€0.2717
Apr ’24€0.30
€0.38
+27.2%
18.3%€0.53€0.26€0.2617
Mar ’24€0.29
€0.39
+32.5%
19.9%€0.53€0.27€0.2718
Feb ’24€0.30
€0.39
+28.2%
18.9%€0.53€0.27€0.2518
Jan ’24€0.30
€0.39
+28.1%
15.0%€0.48€0.30€0.2416
Dec ’23€0.30
€0.38
+28.8%
16.1%€0.48€0.30€0.2917
Nov ’23€0.29
€0.39
+33.4%
16.2%€0.50€0.30€0.3018
Oct ’23€0.28
€0.40
+41.7%
15.4%€0.51€0.32€0.3319
Sep ’23€0.30
€0.39
+31.6%
15.5%€0.51€0.31€0.3019
Aug ’23€0.28
€0.38
+37.1%
13.8%€0.49€0.31€0.3319
Jul ’23€0.28
€0.37
+29.7%
12.6%€0.48€0.29€0.3219
Jun ’23€0.29
€0.36
+26.9%
13.2%€0.48€0.29€0.3419
May ’23€0.29
€0.37
+24.6%
12.9%€0.47€0.29€0.3419

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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