Grupo Catalana Occidente, S.A.

DB:OCZA Stock Report

Market Cap: €4.3b

Grupo Catalana Occidente Valuation

Is OCZA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of OCZA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: OCZA (€36.1) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€82.72)

Significantly Below Fair Value: OCZA is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for OCZA?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

OCZA key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA5x
PEG Ratio5.7x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does OCZA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for OCZA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average13.9x
TLX Talanx
11.3x6.0%€17.8b
NBG6 NÜRNBERGER Beteiligungs-AG
17.5x25.6%€731.5m
RLV RheinLand Holding
14.6xn/a€139.8m
ALV Allianz
12.2x7.6%€102.2b
OCZA Grupo Catalana Occidente
7.5x1.3%€4.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: OCZA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.5x) compared to the peer average (13.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does OCZA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Insurance Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a6.6%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a6.6%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: OCZA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.5x) compared to the European Insurance industry average (11.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is OCZA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

OCZA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7.5x
Fair PE Ratio10.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: OCZA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst OCZA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€36.10
€49.13
+36.1%
6.3%€54.00€45.00n/a5
May ’25€35.90
€49.13
+36.9%
6.3%€54.00€45.00n/a5
Apr ’25€34.90
€48.93
+40.2%
6.6%€54.00€45.00n/a5
Mar ’25€33.25
€49.40
+48.6%
6.7%€54.00€45.00n/a4
Feb ’25€32.70
€49.40
+51.1%
6.7%€54.00€45.00n/a4
Jan ’25€31.15
€49.40
+58.6%
6.7%€54.00€45.00n/a4
Dec ’24€32.00
€49.40
+54.4%
6.7%€54.00€45.00n/a4
Nov ’24€30.20
€49.40
+63.6%
6.7%€54.00€45.00n/a4
Oct ’24€30.05
€44.38
+47.7%
14.8%€50.60€32.30n/a5
Sep ’24€30.15
€44.38
+47.2%
14.8%€50.60€32.30n/a5
Aug ’24€30.00
€44.38
+47.9%
14.8%€50.60€32.30n/a5
Jul ’24€27.70
€43.08
+55.5%
13.8%€50.60€32.30n/a5
Jun ’24€28.60
€43.08
+50.6%
13.8%€50.60€32.30n/a5
May ’24€29.05
€42.88
+47.6%
13.9%€50.60€32.30€35.905
Apr ’24€28.65
€45.53
+58.9%
6.6%€50.60€43.00€34.904
Mar ’24€30.50
€45.28
+48.4%
7.2%€50.60€42.00€33.254
Feb ’24€28.05
€43.13
+53.7%
3.9%€46.00€42.00€32.704
Jan ’24€29.30
€43.10
+47.1%
3.9%€46.00€42.00€31.154
Dec ’23€29.90
€43.10
+44.1%
3.9%€46.00€42.00€32.004
Nov ’23€27.25
€42.60
+56.3%
5.1%€46.00€40.00€30.204
Oct ’23€25.35
€42.50
+67.7%
5.1%€46.00€40.00€30.054
Sep ’23€28.70
€42.50
+48.1%
5.1%€46.00€40.00€30.154
Aug ’23€28.65
€42.00
+46.6%
6.7%€46.00€38.00€30.004
Jul ’23€29.25
€42.00
+43.6%
6.7%€46.00€38.00€27.704
Jun ’23€28.70
€41.90
+46.0%
6.4%€45.60€38.00€28.604
May ’23€27.50
€41.02
+49.2%
8.4%€45.60€35.00€29.055

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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