Kobayashi Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.

DB:KOY Stock Report

Market Cap: €2.4b

Kobayashi Pharmaceutical Valuation

Is KOY undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of KOY when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: KOY (€32.4) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€30.56)

Significantly Below Fair Value: KOY is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for KOY?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

KOY key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA10.2x
PEG Ratio7.9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does KOY's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for KOY vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average42.4x
BEI Beiersdorf
42.7x12.0%€31.5b
531162 Emami
29.5x11.0%₹212.4b
4922 KOSÉ
40.4x14.7%JP¥473.6b
507815 Gillette India
57xn/a₹217.0b
KOY Kobayashi Pharmaceutical
19.8x2.5%€402.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: KOY is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.8x) compared to the peer average (42.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does KOY's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Personal Products Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a7.6%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a7.6%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: KOY is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.8x) compared to the European Personal Products industry average (27.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is KOY's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

KOY PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio19.8x
Fair PE Ratio25.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: KOY is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst KOY forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€32.40
€45.43
+40.2%
20.6%€61.78€34.45n/a6
Apr ’25€29.00
€49.90
+72.1%
17.0%€63.43€39.89n/a6
Mar ’25€35.80
€50.96
+42.3%
15.9%€64.18€41.66n/a6
Feb ’25€41.20
€53.28
+29.3%
14.4%€64.95€42.47n/a8
Jan ’25€42.20
€53.59
+27.0%
15.4%€65.85€43.05n/a7
Dec ’24€40.80
€55.06
+35.0%
17.4%€70.85€42.26n/a8
Nov ’24€38.00
€55.96
+47.3%
17.4%€72.21€43.07n/a8
Oct ’24€41.40
€55.96
+35.2%
17.4%€72.21€43.07n/a8
Sep ’24€44.80
€57.88
+29.2%
15.4%€72.39€43.18n/a8
Aug ’24€48.60
€60.45
+24.4%
15.3%€75.24€50.16n/a8
Jul ’24€48.60
€60.45
+24.4%
15.3%€75.24€50.16n/a8
Jun ’24€51.50
€60.88
+18.2%
16.5%€76.48€50.32n/a8
May ’24€56.00
€61.71
+10.2%
16.6%€77.20€50.79€32.408
Apr ’24€55.00
€65.45
+19.0%
16.6%€80.35€52.86€29.007
Mar ’24€55.00
€65.52
+19.1%
16.7%€81.28€53.25€35.807
Feb ’24€64.00
€67.13
+4.9%
16.0%€83.40€55.36€41.207
Jan ’24€63.00
€62.85
-0.2%
14.2%€78.61€52.63€42.207
Dec ’23€59.50
€63.94
+7.5%
13.6%€80.74€54.06€40.808
Nov ’23€53.00
€62.08
+17.1%
13.0%€78.58€52.61€38.009
Oct ’23€58.00
€64.64
+11.5%
12.3%€81.33€56.57€41.409
Sep ’23€55.50
€66.37
+19.6%
12.4%€83.67€57.70€44.809
Aug ’23€64.50
€68.95
+6.9%
9.8%€83.39€61.10€48.609
Jul ’23€58.50
€67.60
+15.6%
10.7%€82.42€58.26€48.609
Jun ’23€63.00
€69.95
+11.0%
10.7%€85.18€60.21€51.509
May ’23€63.00
€70.24
+11.5%
9.6%€84.36€61.81€56.009

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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