Kobayashi Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.

DB:KOY Stock Report

Market Cap: €2.6b

Kobayashi Pharmaceutical Valuation

Is KOY undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of KOY when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: KOY (€35.2) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€27.84)

Significantly Below Fair Value: KOY is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for KOY?

Key metric: As KOY is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for KOY. This is calculated by dividing KOY's market cap by their current earnings.
What is KOY's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio41.8x
EarningsJP¥10.18b
Market CapJP¥425.89b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does KOY's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for KOY vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average35.4x
BEI Beiersdorf
37.3x12.7%€27.6b
300146 Byhealth
28.7x34.8%CN¥20.9b
4922 KOSÉ
48.3x21.8%JP¥377.8b
603868 Shanghai Flyco Electrical Appliance
27.3x16.0%CN¥17.5b
KOY Kobayashi Pharmaceutical
41.8x19.0%€425.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: KOY is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (41.8x) compared to the peer average (35.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does KOY's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Personal Products Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
KOY 41.8xIndustry Avg. 22.5xNo. of Companies5PE01224364860+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: KOY is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (41.8x) compared to the European Personal Products industry average (22.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is KOY's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

KOY PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio41.8x
Fair PE Ratio23.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: KOY is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (41.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst KOY forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€35.20
€36.24
+3.0%
10.4%€43.41€30.39n/a8
Nov ’25€32.40
€35.13
+8.4%
10.6%€42.36€29.65n/a8
Oct ’25€35.00
€35.75
+2.1%
11.3%€43.74€29.99n/a7
Sep ’25€34.00
€34.52
+1.5%
12.1%€40.67€27.89n/a7
Aug ’25€35.60
€34.52
-3.0%
12.1%€40.67€27.89n/a7
Jul ’25€30.00
€34.52
+15.1%
12.1%€40.67€27.89n/a7
Jun ’25€31.20
€37.28
+19.5%
7.0%€41.10€34.06n/a6
May ’25€32.40
€40.97
+26.4%
15.7%€53.45€34.44n/a6
Apr ’25€29.00
€49.90
+72.1%
17.0%€63.43€39.89n/a6
Mar ’25€35.80
€50.96
+42.3%
15.9%€64.18€41.66n/a6
Feb ’25€41.20
€53.28
+29.3%
14.4%€64.95€42.47n/a8
Jan ’25€42.20
€53.59
+27.0%
15.4%€65.85€43.05n/a7
Dec ’24€40.80
€55.06
+35.0%
17.4%€70.85€42.26n/a8
Nov ’24€38.00
€55.96
+47.3%
17.4%€72.21€43.07€32.408
Oct ’24€41.40
€55.96
+35.2%
17.4%€72.21€43.07€35.008
Sep ’24€44.80
€57.88
+29.2%
15.4%€72.39€43.18€34.008
Aug ’24€48.60
€60.45
+24.4%
15.3%€75.24€50.16€35.608
Jul ’24€48.60
€60.45
+24.4%
15.3%€75.24€50.16€30.008
Jun ’24€51.50
€60.88
+18.2%
16.5%€76.48€50.32€31.208
May ’24€56.00
€61.71
+10.2%
16.6%€77.20€50.79€32.408
Apr ’24€55.00
€65.45
+19.0%
16.6%€80.35€52.86€29.007
Mar ’24€55.00
€65.52
+19.1%
16.7%€81.28€53.25€35.807
Feb ’24€64.00
€67.13
+4.9%
16.0%€83.40€55.36€41.207
Jan ’24€63.00
€62.85
-0.2%
14.2%€78.61€52.63€42.207
Dec ’23€59.50
€63.94
+7.5%
13.6%€80.74€54.06€40.808
Nov ’23€53.00
€62.08
+17.1%
13.0%€78.58€52.61€38.009

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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