Coty Inc.

DB:CO3A Stock Report

Market Cap: €5.8b

Coty Valuation

Is CO3A undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CO3A when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CO3A (€6.67) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€5.8)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CO3A is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CO3A?

Key metric: As CO3A is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CO3A. This is calculated by dividing CO3A's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CO3A's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio38.6x
EarningsUS$157.50m
Market CapUS$6.08b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CO3A's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CO3A vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average38.6x
BEI Beiersdorf
37.4x12.8%€27.6b
500459 Procter & Gamble Hygiene and Health Care
70x15.9%₹473.1b
HEN3 Henkel KGaA
19.8x6.5%€32.8b
2367 Giant Biogene Holding
27x23.4%HK$50.7b
CO3A Coty
38.6x23.0%€6.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CO3A is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (38.6x) compared to the peer average (38.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CO3A's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Personal Products Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
CO3A 38.6xIndustry Avg. 23.0xNo. of Companies4PE01224364860+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CO3A is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (38.6x) compared to the European Personal Products industry average (23x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CO3A's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CO3A PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio38.6x
Fair PE Ratio27.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CO3A is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (38.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CO3A forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€6.67
€9.74
+46.0%
20.0%€14.38€6.71n/a21
Dec ’25€6.93
€9.77
+41.0%
19.6%€14.21€6.63n/a20
Nov ’25€6.79
€10.70
+57.5%
15.9%€13.85€7.39n/a20
Oct ’25€8.28
€11.27
+36.1%
14.9%€15.27€8.98n/a20
Sep ’25€8.38
€11.32
+35.1%
13.7%€15.19€8.94n/a20
Aug ’25€8.90
€11.88
+33.5%
11.9%€15.29€10.19n/a20
Jul ’25€9.17
€12.29
+34.1%
12.2%€15.40€10.26n/a20
Jun ’25€9.58
€12.20
+27.5%
11.3%€15.18€10.12n/a20
May ’25€10.73
€12.48
+16.3%
11.6%€16.35€10.28n/a21
Apr ’25€11.03
€12.50
+13.3%
12.2%€16.12€10.13n/a20
Mar ’25€11.61
€12.51
+7.8%
12.7%€16.19€9.71n/a20
Feb ’25€11.20
€12.17
+8.6%
11.9%€15.73€9.72n/a20
Jan ’25€11.15
€11.70
+4.9%
13.6%€15.59€9.17n/a20
Dec ’24€10.32
€11.52
+11.6%
13.6%€15.48€9.10€6.9320
Nov ’24€8.67
€11.98
+38.2%
12.2%€14.07€9.38€6.7918
Oct ’24€10.32
€12.59
+22.1%
10.5%€15.01€10.32€8.2816
Sep ’24€10.69
€12.12
+13.4%
9.7%€13.81€10.13€8.3816
Aug ’24€10.59
€12.37
+16.8%
10.0%€15.50€10.49€8.9015
Jul ’24€11.23
€12.13
+8.0%
10.8%€14.60€10.49€9.1715
Jun ’24€10.21
€12.05
+18.0%
11.1%€14.57€10.47€9.5815
May ’24€10.71
€11.50
+7.3%
14.9%€14.58€7.52€10.7315
Apr ’24€11.03
€11.02
-0.1%
16.6%€13.84€7.61€11.0315
Mar ’24€10.57
€11.21
+6.1%
15.9%€14.15€7.78€11.6115
Feb ’24€9.27
€9.98
+7.7%
20.1%€13.80€6.44€11.2014
Jan ’24€7.82
€9.81
+25.4%
24.3%€14.33€6.69€11.1515
Dec ’23€7.42
€10.19
+37.3%
24.4%€14.98€6.99€10.3215

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/28 18:20
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/27 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Coty Inc. is covered by 34 analysts. 18 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Mariano SzachtmanBanco Santander
Lauren LiebermanBarclays
Lauren LiebermanBarclays