Fancl Valuation

Is 4P2 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4P2 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 4P2 (€15) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€13.62)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4P2 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4P2?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

4P2 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA14.7x
PEG Ratio2.8x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 4P2's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 4P2 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average30x
BEI Beiersdorf
44.5x12.0%€32.8b
4927 Pola Orbis Holdings
29.7x11.1%JP¥298.5b
600315 Shanghai Jahwa United
24.4x14.2%CN¥12.8b
603235 JiangXi Tianxin Pharmaceutical
21.4xn/aCN¥11.0b
4P2 Fancl
31.3x11.0%€276.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 4P2 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.3x) compared to the peer average (29.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 4P2's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Personal Products Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a7.8%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a7.8%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 4P2 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.3x) compared to the European Personal Products industry average (25.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4P2's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4P2 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio31.3x
Fair PE Ratio26.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 4P2 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 4P2 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€15.00
€14.59
-2.7%
6.8%€15.44€12.89n/a5
Jun ’25€11.40
€14.48
+27.0%
6.2%€15.33€12.79n/a6
May ’25€10.80
€15.89
+47.1%
6.5%€17.89€14.49n/a6
Apr ’25€12.10
€15.89
+31.3%
6.5%€17.89€14.49n/a6
Mar ’25€12.40
€16.58
+33.7%
7.0%€17.96€14.55n/a5
Feb ’25€14.70
€17.84
+21.3%
11.9%€21.86€14.68n/a7
Jan ’25€14.90
€18.48
+24.0%
12.8%€22.57€15.15n/a6
Dec ’24€14.00
€17.47
+24.8%
12.4%€21.60€14.50n/a8
Nov ’24€13.90
€17.42
+25.4%
13.5%€22.07€14.82n/a9
Oct ’24€14.20
€18.11
+27.6%
11.6%€22.18€15.52n/a8
Sep ’24€16.00
€18.11
+13.2%
11.6%€22.18€15.52n/a8
Aug ’24€15.40
€17.27
+12.2%
13.0%€22.29€14.65n/a8
Jul ’24€15.00
€17.20
+14.7%
13.4%€22.58€14.84n/a9
Jun ’24€15.10
€18.76
+24.2%
14.5%€23.34€15.34€11.409
May ’24€15.50
€20.34
+31.2%
13.4%€24.70€16.23€10.809
Apr ’24€16.50
€20.34
+23.3%
13.4%€24.70€16.23€12.109
Mar ’24€16.90
€21.84
+29.2%
25.3%€36.43€16.12€12.4010
Feb ’24€18.10
€22.10
+22.1%
25.2%€36.76€16.26€14.7010
Jan ’24€18.70
€21.82
+16.7%
25.3%€37.07€16.40€14.9011
Dec ’23€18.10
€21.68
+19.8%
24.7%€36.51€16.85€14.0011
Nov ’23€18.60
€21.40
+15.0%
24.4%€35.45€16.36€13.9011
Oct ’23€19.90
€21.65
+8.8%
25.7%€36.24€16.72€14.2011
Sep ’23€19.50
€22.21
+13.9%
26.6%€37.51€17.31€16.0011
Aug ’23€18.50
€21.49
+16.1%
26.5%€37.38€17.25€15.4011
Jul ’23€17.10
€20.71
+21.1%
27.1%€36.70€16.94€15.0011
Jun ’23€16.10
€22.61
+40.5%
25.1%€37.49€17.31€15.1011

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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