Hologic Valuation

Is HO1 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of HO1 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: HO1 (€70) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€93.57)

Significantly Below Fair Value: HO1 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HO1?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

HO1 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue4.7x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA14.9x
PEG Ratio2.7x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does HO1's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for HO1 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average26.3x
AFX Carl Zeiss Meditec
32x11.9%€8.9b
SHL Siemens Healthineers
38.3x19.5%€58.1b
DRW3 Drägerwerk KGaA
9.3x11.4%€870.4m
EUZ Eckert & Ziegler
25.8x9.2%€775.2m
HO1 Hologic
34.9x13.0%€18.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: HO1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (34.9x) compared to the peer average (26.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does HO1's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Medical Equipment Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a18.3%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a18.3%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: HO1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (34.9x) compared to the European Medical Equipment industry average (32.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is HO1's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

HO1 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio34.9x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate HO1's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst HO1 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€70.00
€78.60
+12.3%
7.6%€88.61€65.29n/a15
Apr ’25n/a
€76.65
0%
7.6%€88.07€64.90n/a15
Mar ’25€68.10
€76.65
+12.5%
7.6%€88.07€64.90n/a15
Feb ’25€68.02
€74.88
+10.1%
7.5%€87.40€64.40n/a15
Jan ’25n/a
€72.53
0%
8.1%€86.05€63.41n/a16
Dec ’24n/a
€73.19
0%
8.5%€87.11€64.18n/a16
Nov ’24n/a
€78.88
0%
9.1%€89.98€66.30n/a15
Oct ’24n/a
€82.39
0%
8.1%€88.61€65.29n/a15
Sep ’24n/a
€81.77
0%
8.1%€87.94€64.80n/a15
Aug ’24€71.88
€80.85
+12.5%
8.1%€89.23€63.74n/a15
Jul ’24n/a
€82.65
0%
8.9%€95.33€63.55n/a14
Jun ’24€74.06
€82.65
+11.6%
8.9%€95.33€63.55n/a14
May ’24n/a
€79.85
0%
7.9%€86.59€63.81€70.0014
Apr ’24n/a
€79.71
0%
8.5%€88.02€64.86n/a14
Mar ’24n/a
€80.26
0%
8.9%€88.00€64.84€68.1014
Feb ’24n/a
€75.69
0%
8.6%€83.63€64.33€68.0214
Jan ’24n/a
€73.63
0%
7.4%€85.27€66.32n/a14
Dec ’23€71.54
€78.21
+9.3%
7.3%€91.12€70.87n/a12
Nov ’23n/a
€78.21
0%
7.3%€91.12€70.87n/a12
Oct ’23n/a
€75.56
0%
9.9%€88.11€62.66n/a11
Sep ’23€67.25
€75.56
+12.4%
9.9%€88.11€62.66n/a11
Aug ’23€69.30
€75.56
+9.0%
9.9%€88.11€62.66€71.8811
Jul ’23€65.30
€74.83
+14.6%
8.6%€85.35€66.38n/a11
Jun ’23€70.20
€74.83
+6.6%
8.6%€85.35€66.38€74.0611
May ’23€67.20
€74.85
+11.4%
8.3%€85.66€66.63n/a11

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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