Hologic Valuation

Is HO1 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of HO1 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: HO1 (€70) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€159.23)

Significantly Below Fair Value: HO1 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HO1?

Key metric: As HO1 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for HO1. This is calculated by dividing HO1's market cap by their current earnings.
What is HO1's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio20.9x
EarningsUS$789.50m
Market CapUS$16.50b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does HO1's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for HO1 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average22.6x
SHL Siemens Healthineers
30x14.2%€58.2b
AFX Carl Zeiss Meditec
23.7x16.0%€4.2b
DRW3 Drägerwerk KGaA
7.8x2.0%€822.1m
EUZ Eckert & Ziegler
29.1x5.2%€1.0b
HO1 Hologic
20.9x7.0%€16.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: HO1 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.9x) compared to the peer average (22.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does HO1's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Medical Equipment Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
HO1 20.9xIndustry Avg. 30.4xNo. of Companies9PE01632486480+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: HO1 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.9x) compared to the European Medical Equipment industry average (30.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is HO1's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

HO1 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio20.9x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate HO1's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst HO1 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
€83.37
0%
8.2%€92.57€68.21n/a17
Jan ’26n/a
€82.81
0%
7.9%€91.63€67.52n/a17
Dec ’25n/a
€79.83
0%
7.2%€87.87€64.07n/a15
Nov ’25n/a
€80.21
0%
7.0%€88.37€64.44n/a16
Oct ’25n/a
€78.54
0%
7.9%€86.73€63.24n/a15
Sep ’25n/a
€79.78
0%
8.6%€87.96€64.14n/a15
Aug ’25€72.00
€80.16
+11.3%
8.6%€88.96€64.87n/a14
Jul ’25n/a
€79.84
0%
7.6%€88.95€65.54n/a15
Jun ’25€67.00
€78.39
+17.0%
7.8%€87.47€64.45n/a14
May ’25€70.00
€78.98
+12.8%
7.6%€89.03€65.60n/a15
Apr ’25n/a
€76.65
0%
7.6%€88.07€64.90n/a15
Mar ’25€68.10
€76.65
+12.5%
7.6%€88.07€64.90n/a15
Feb ’25€68.02
€74.88
+10.1%
7.5%€87.40€64.40n/a15
Jan ’25n/a
€72.53
0%
8.1%€86.05€63.41n/a16
Dec ’24n/a
€73.19
0%
8.5%€87.11€64.18n/a16
Nov ’24n/a
€78.88
0%
9.1%€89.98€66.30n/a15
Oct ’24n/a
€82.39
0%
8.1%€88.61€65.29n/a15
Sep ’24n/a
€81.77
0%
8.1%€87.94€64.80n/a15
Aug ’24€71.88
€80.85
+12.5%
8.1%€89.23€63.74€72.0015
Jul ’24n/a
€82.65
0%
8.9%€95.33€63.55n/a14
Jun ’24€74.06
€82.65
+11.6%
8.9%€95.33€63.55€67.0014
May ’24n/a
€79.85
0%
7.9%€86.59€63.81€70.0014
Apr ’24n/a
€79.71
0%
8.5%€88.02€64.86n/a14
Mar ’24n/a
€80.26
0%
8.9%€88.00€64.84€68.1014
Feb ’24n/a
€75.69
0%
8.6%€83.63€64.33€68.0214
Jan ’24n/a
€73.63
0%
7.4%€85.27€66.32n/a14

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/08 02:46
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/16 00:00
Earnings2024/09/28
Annual Earnings2024/09/28

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Hologic, Inc. is covered by 51 analysts. 20 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
David ToungArgus Research Company
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research
Charles ButlerBarclays