Fresenius SE KGaA Valuation

Is FRE undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of FRE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
€100.77
Fair Value
61.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
15
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: FRE (€39.3) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€100.77)

Significantly Below Fair Value: FRE is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FRE?

Key metric: As FRE is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for FRE. This is calculated by dividing FRE's market cap by their current earnings.
What is FRE's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio24.6x
Earnings€901.00m
Market Cap€22.14b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does FRE's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for FRE vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average28.6x
FME Fresenius Medical Care
24.3x18.1%€13.0b
SYAB SYNLAB
27.8xn/a€2.5b
SHL Siemens Healthineers
29.1x13.2%€58.1b
AFX Carl Zeiss Meditec
33.2x19.4%€5.1b
FRE Fresenius SE KGaA
24.6x16.9%€22.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: FRE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.6x) compared to the peer average (28.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does FRE's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Healthcare Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
FRE 24.6xIndustry Avg. 18.9xNo. of Companies7PE01020304050+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: FRE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.6x) compared to the European Healthcare industry average (19.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FRE's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FRE PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio24.6x
Fair PE Ratio39.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: FRE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (39.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst FRE forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€38.54
€43.59
+13.1%
15.4%€56.90€33.00n/a15
Mar ’26€38.41
€43.13
+12.3%
11.6%€53.00€34.00n/a15
Feb ’26€37.08
€41.73
+12.5%
11.8%€53.00€30.00n/a15
Jan ’26€33.57
€40.86
+21.7%
11.5%€53.00€30.00n/a15
Dec ’25€33.29
€40.19
+20.7%
12.4%€53.00€30.00n/a15
Nov ’25€33.84
€39.67
+17.2%
11.3%€50.00€30.00n/a15
Oct ’25€34.21
€39.41
+15.2%
11.1%€50.00€30.00n/a15
Sep ’25€33.25
€38.64
+16.2%
12.9%€50.00€30.00n/a15
Aug ’25€31.64
€38.64
+22.1%
12.9%€50.00€30.00n/a15
Jul ’25€28.43
€37.26
+31.0%
14.1%€50.00€28.00n/a16
Jun ’25€29.20
€36.73
+25.8%
14.8%€50.00€28.00n/a16
May ’25€27.99
€36.22
+29.4%
15.0%€50.00€28.00n/a16
Apr ’25€24.96
€36.22
+45.1%
15.0%€50.00€28.00n/a16
Mar ’25€25.85
€38.21
+47.8%
25.0%€70.00€28.00€38.4117
Feb ’25€26.09
€38.59
+47.9%
24.1%€70.00€30.00€37.0817
Jan ’25€28.30
€38.66
+36.6%
24.6%€70.00€30.00€33.5716
Dec ’24€29.02
€38.48
+32.6%
25.1%€70.00€29.60€33.2916
Nov ’24€24.78
€38.51
+55.4%
23.7%€68.00€29.60€33.8416
Oct ’24€29.34
€38.63
+31.7%
24.1%€68.00€29.60€34.2116
Sep ’24€29.43
€38.01
+29.1%
24.6%€68.00€28.00€33.2517
Aug ’24€28.76
€36.59
+27.2%
27.5%€69.00€27.00€31.6417
Jul ’24€25.44
€36.41
+43.1%
28.6%€69.00€26.00€28.4316
Jun ’24€25.66
€38.17
+48.8%
41.2%€92.00€26.00€29.2015
May ’24€26.15
€37.11
+41.9%
43.8%€92.00€22.00€27.9915
Apr ’24€24.96
€35.83
+43.5%
46.1%€92.00€16.60€24.9616
Mar ’24€25.19
€35.23
+39.9%
47.6%€92.00€16.60€25.8516
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 15 Analysts
€43.59
Fair Value
9.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
15
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


Discover undervalued companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/03/10 20:55
End of Day Share Price 2025/03/10 00:00
Earnings2024/12/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Fresenius SE & Co. KGaA is covered by 47 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Martin SchneeAlphaValue
Hassan Al-WakeelBarclays
Robert BateBarclays