DexCom Valuation

Is DC4 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DC4 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: DC4 (€117.1) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€109.72)

Significantly Below Fair Value: DC4 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DC4?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

DC4 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue13.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA59.3x
PEG Ratio4.3x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does DC4's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for DC4 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average26.3x
SHL Siemens Healthineers
38.3x19.5%€58.1b
AFX Carl Zeiss Meditec
32x11.9%€8.9b
EUZ Eckert & Ziegler
25.8x9.2%€775.2m
DRW3 Drägerwerk KGaA
9.3x11.4%€870.4m
DC4 DexCom
79.2x18.4%€50.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: DC4 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (79.2x) compared to the peer average (26.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does DC4's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Medical Equipment Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a18.3%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a18.3%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: DC4 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (79.2x) compared to the European Medical Equipment industry average (32.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DC4's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DC4 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio79.2x
Fair PE Ratio46.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: DC4 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (79.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (46.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst DC4 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€117.10
€140.95
+20.4%
8.9%€159.34€98.42n/a23
Apr ’25€128.52
€137.22
+6.8%
9.1%€157.59€97.34n/a23
Mar ’25€106.52
€135.87
+27.6%
8.8%€157.78€97.45n/a22
Feb ’25€114.14
€131.17
+14.9%
10.2%€156.72€96.80n/a20
Jan ’25€111.96
€121.35
+8.4%
11.1%€146.33€95.43n/a22
Dec ’24€105.36
€114.89
+9.0%
11.4%€142.04€92.56n/a22
Nov ’24€83.36
€119.22
+43.0%
11.8%€146.69€95.59n/a22
Oct ’24€90.12
€134.56
+49.3%
12.2%€151.49€87.11n/a21
Sep ’24€92.81
€134.50
+44.9%
10.7%€160.62€84.44n/a21
Aug ’24€113.48
€133.76
+17.9%
10.6%€159.15€83.66n/a21
Jul ’24€117.06
€127.84
+9.2%
10.2%€139.38€84.36n/a20
Jun ’24€109.42
€128.89
+17.8%
10.0%€139.83€85.76n/a20
May ’24€108.20
€125.15
+15.7%
10.2%€136.13€83.49€117.1020
Apr ’24€104.78
€120.67
+15.2%
10.4%€138.38€84.87€128.5220
Mar ’24€104.48
€121.36
+16.2%
10.2%€140.37€86.09€106.5219
Feb ’24€97.87
€116.38
+18.9%
11.5%€137.46€84.31€114.1418
Jan ’24€104.40
€119.78
+14.7%
11.9%€141.54€86.81€111.9617
Dec ’23€110.88
€122.60
+10.6%
9.4%€141.71€93.12€105.3617
Nov ’23€123.02
€122.60
-0.3%
9.4%€141.71€93.12€83.3617
Oct ’23€84.23
€98.31
+16.7%
9.2%€111.74€80.81€90.1215
Sep ’23€81.19
€97.38
+19.9%
9.4%€111.51€80.64€92.8116
Aug ’23€79.44
€96.17
+21.1%
9.3%€109.65€79.30€113.4817
Jul ’23€70.09
€114.58
+63.5%
16.9%€142.17€76.77€117.0616
Jun ’23€70.00
€122.78
+75.4%
12.7%€139.76€73.37€109.4217
May ’23€95.40
€127.56
+33.7%
13.2%€149.34€74.67€108.2018

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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