Castle Biosciences, Inc.

DB:086 Stock Report

Market Cap: €562.3m

Castle Biosciences Valuation

Is 086 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 086 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

€55.05
Fair Value
66.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
8
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: 086 (€18.7) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€55.05)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 086 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 086?

Key metric: As 086 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 086. This is calculated by dividing 086's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 086's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1.9x
SalesUS$346.27m
Market CapUS$659.07m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 086's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 086 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.6x
V3V FamiCord
1.2x4.40%€102.8m
FME Fresenius Medical Care
0.7x3.99%€13.2b
RHK RHÖN-KLINIKUM
0.4x3.16%€776.5m
ILM1 Medios
0.2x2.57%€369.8m
086 Castle Biosciences
1.9x3.40%€659.1m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 086 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.9x) compared to the peer average (0.6x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 086's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Healthcare Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PS range
086 1.9xIndustry Avg. 0.6xNo. of Companies4PS00.40.81.21.62+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 086 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.9x) compared to the European Healthcare industry average (0.6x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 086's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

086 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.9x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 086's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 086 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€18.70
€30.36
+62.35%
9.30%€34.94€25.57n/a8
Sep ’26€20.10
€30.60
+52.23%
9.30%€35.21€25.77n/a8
Aug ’26n/a
€31.07
0%
9.14%€35.49€25.97n/a9
Jul ’26n/a
€30.66
0%
9.14%€35.03€25.63n/a9
Jun ’26n/a
€31.82
0%
9.14%€36.35€26.60n/a9
May ’26n/a
€33.55
0%
10.51%€38.51€26.26n/a9
Apr ’26n/a
€35.95
0%
9.96%€40.67€27.73n/a9
Mar ’26n/a
€38.09
0%
6.45%€42.42€34.71n/a8
Feb ’26n/a
€38.77
0%
10.30%€47.67€34.32n/a9
Jan ’26n/a
€38.71
0%
9.83%€46.58€33.54n/a9
Dec ’25n/a
€38.71
0%
9.83%€46.58€33.54n/a9
Nov ’25n/a
€34.53
0%
13.48%€41.62€25.89n/a9
Oct ’25n/a
€32.53
0%
12.16%€41.17€25.62€19.009
Sep ’25n/a
€32.53
0%
12.16%€41.17€25.62€20.109
Aug ’25n/a
€31.72
0%
9.61%€36.95€25.87n/a9
Jul ’25n/a
€31.88
0%
9.61%€37.14€26.00n/a9
Jun ’25n/a
€31.88
0%
9.61%€37.14€26.00n/a9
May ’25n/a
€30.50
0%
9.17%€34.08€25.79n/a9
Apr ’25n/a
€30.50
0%
9.17%€34.08€25.79n/a9
Mar ’25n/a
€30.18
0%
8.80%€34.23€25.91n/a8
Feb ’25n/a
€29.24
0%
12.54%€34.16€23.08n/a9
Jan ’25n/a
€28.75
0%
12.69%€33.71€22.78n/a9
Dec ’24n/a
€30.78
0%
12.86%€37.30€23.32n/a8
Nov ’24n/a
€30.25
0%
12.86%€36.66€22.92n/a8
Oct ’24n/a
€30.25
0%
12.86%€36.66€22.92n/a8
€29.32
Fair Value
36.2% undervalued intrinsic discount
8
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


Discover undervalued companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/10/06 08:43
End of Day Share Price 2025/10/03 00:00
Earnings2025/06/30
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Castle Biosciences, Inc. is covered by 9 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Catherine Ramsey SchulteBaird
Mark MassaroBTIG
Kyle MiksonCanaccord Genuity