DexCom Valuation

Is DC4 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DC4 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: DC4 (€60.87) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€121.03)

Significantly Below Fair Value: DC4 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DC4?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

DC4 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue6.7x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA29.9x
PEG Ratio2.4x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does DC4's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for DC4 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average23.9x
SHL Siemens Healthineers
32.3x16.1%€60.2b
AFX Carl Zeiss Meditec
31.2x17.9%€6.3b
EUZ Eckert & Ziegler
24.7x4.0%€933.0m
DRW3 Drägerwerk KGaA
7.4x0.8%€830.1m
DC4 DexCom
40.4x16.5%€27.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: DC4 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (40.4x) compared to the peer average (23.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does DC4's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Medical Equipment Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a16.0%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a16.0%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: DC4 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (40.4x) compared to the European Medical Equipment industry average (30.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DC4's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DC4 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio40.4x
Fair PE Ratio39x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: DC4 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (40.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (39x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst DC4 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€60.87
€86.01
+41.3%
16.0%€116.32€67.11n/a23
Sep ’25€62.98
€86.25
+37.0%
15.7%€116.96€67.48n/a24
Aug ’25€65.78
€90.96
+38.3%
20.6%€140.74€69.38n/a24
Jul ’25€105.60
€140.34
+32.9%
9.2%€158.70€98.02n/a24
Jun ’25€116.76
€138.82
+18.9%
9.2%€156.98€96.96n/a24
May ’25€119.84
€140.57
+17.3%
8.9%€158.92€98.15n/a23
Apr ’25€129.72
€137.22
+5.8%
9.1%€157.59€97.34n/a23
Mar ’25€109.88
€135.87
+23.7%
8.8%€157.78€97.45n/a22
Feb ’25€112.02
€131.17
+17.1%
10.2%€156.72€96.80n/a20
Jan ’25€112.40
€121.35
+8.0%
11.1%€146.33€95.43n/a22
Dec ’24€107.66
€114.89
+6.7%
11.4%€142.04€92.56n/a22
Nov ’24€88.71
€119.22
+34.4%
11.8%€146.69€95.59n/a22
Oct ’24€89.93
€134.56
+49.6%
12.2%€151.49€87.11n/a21
Sep ’24€93.40
€134.50
+44.0%
10.7%€160.62€84.44€62.9821
Aug ’24€112.44
€133.76
+19.0%
10.6%€159.15€83.66€65.7821
Jul ’24€117.68
€127.84
+8.6%
10.2%€139.38€84.36€105.6020
Jun ’24€109.44
€128.89
+17.8%
10.0%€139.83€85.76€116.7620
May ’24€107.90
€125.15
+16.0%
10.2%€136.13€83.49€119.8420
Apr ’24€107.02
€120.67
+12.8%
10.4%€138.38€84.87€129.7220
Mar ’24€103.28
€121.36
+17.5%
10.2%€140.37€86.09€109.8819
Feb ’24€97.16
€116.38
+19.8%
11.5%€137.46€84.31€112.0218
Jan ’24€104.02
€119.78
+15.2%
11.9%€141.54€86.81€112.4017
Dec ’23€112.80
€122.60
+8.7%
9.4%€141.71€93.12€107.6617
Nov ’23€121.66
€122.60
+0.8%
9.4%€141.71€93.12€88.7117
Oct ’23€85.38
€98.31
+15.1%
9.2%€111.74€80.81€89.9315
Sep ’23€80.54
€97.38
+20.9%
9.4%€111.51€80.64€93.4016

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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