The Boston Beer Company, Inc.

DB:BBEA Stock Report

Market Cap: €3.4b

Boston Beer Company Valuation

Is BBEA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BBEA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BBEA (€296.6) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€538.09)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BBEA is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BBEA?

Key metric: As BBEA is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for BBEA. This is calculated by dividing BBEA's market cap by their current earnings.
What is BBEA's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio43.6x
EarningsUS$80.13m
Market CapUS$3.49b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BBEA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BBEA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average11.3x
KUL Kulmbacher Brauerei Aktien-Gesellschaft
23.7xn/a€140.4m
SZU Südzucker
6.3x-10.2%€2.1b
KWS KWS SAAT SE KGaA
9.5x1.2%€1.9b
PKB Park & Bellheimer
5.8xn/a€11.5m
BBEA Boston Beer Company
43.6x19.6%€3.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BBEA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (43.6x) compared to the peer average (11.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BBEA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Beverage Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
BBEA 43.6xIndustry Avg. 18.0xNo. of Companies7PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BBEA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (43.6x) compared to the European Beverage industry average (18x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BBEA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BBEA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio43.6x
Fair PE Ratio24.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: BBEA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (43.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BBEA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€296.60
€297.55
+0.3%
13.0%€370.64€219.14n/a14
Dec ’25€296.80
€292.18
-1.6%
12.0%€371.30€219.54n/a15
Nov ’25€270.40
€282.48
+4.5%
12.2%€358.19€211.78n/a15
Oct ’25€259.40
€276.41
+6.6%
12.2%€349.36€206.56n/a15
Sep ’25€243.80
€284.88
+16.8%
12.3%€359.83€212.75n/a15
Aug ’25€255.20
€284.88
+11.6%
12.3%€359.83€212.75n/a15
Jul ’25€280.60
€300.30
+7.0%
11.4%€367.90€232.85n/a16
Jun ’25€235.60
€298.47
+26.7%
11.2%€364.11€230.45n/a16
May ’25€259.40
€302.08
+16.5%
11.1%€369.44€233.83n/a16
Apr ’25€281.00
€304.09
+8.2%
12.2%€363.83€236.72n/a15
Mar ’25€280.00
€313.03
+11.8%
17.6%€458.63€237.16n/a14
Feb ’25€326.50
€325.25
-0.4%
17.4%€457.84€236.75n/a14
Jan ’25€315.00
€318.89
+1.2%
17.5%€455.25€235.41n/a15
Dec ’24€325.50
€326.94
+0.4%
17.6%€465.14€240.53€296.8015
Nov ’24€311.50
€328.84
+5.6%
18.2%€470.31€243.20€270.4014
Oct ’24€368.00
€325.97
-11.4%
19.0%€470.26€243.17€259.4014
Sep ’24€339.50
€308.14
-9.2%
18.9%€452.52€234.00€243.8014
Aug ’24€333.00
€308.14
-7.5%
18.9%€452.52€234.00€255.2014
Jul ’24€281.00
€301.37
+7.2%
19.8%€457.29€207.02€280.6013
Jun ’24€309.00
€300.47
-2.8%
20.7%€463.25€209.72€235.6014
May ’24€288.50
€292.60
+1.4%
27.8%€553.58€204.19€259.4014
Apr ’24€303.25
€309.69
+2.1%
27.0%€569.01€209.88€281.0015
Mar ’24€297.25
€311.75
+4.9%
26.0%€572.85€211.30€280.0016
Feb ’24€365.40
€319.67
-12.5%
27.5%€609.90€223.02€326.5015
Jan ’24€312.65
€328.75
+5.1%
27.5%€632.08€228.30€315.0016
Dec ’23€364.70
€345.89
-5.2%
27.6%€668.39€241.42€325.5016

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/20 09:04
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/19 00:00
Earnings2024/09/28
Annual Earnings2023/12/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

The Boston Beer Company, Inc. is covered by 41 analysts. 13 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research
Oliver AndersonBerenberg
Kenneth ZaslowBMO Capital Markets Equity Research