The Boston Beer Company, Inc.

DB:BBEA Stock Report

Market Cap: €3.0b

Boston Beer Company Valuation

Is BBEA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BBEA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BBEA (€248.8) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€549.66)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BBEA is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BBEA?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

BBEA key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA12.6x
PEG Ratio2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BBEA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BBEA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average11.2x
KUL Kulmbacher Brauerei Aktien-Gesellschaft
23.6xn/a€143.1m
SZU Südzucker
4.9x-34.7%€2.9b
KWS KWS SAAT SE KGaA
10.1x-3.5%€1.9b
PKB Park & Bellheimer
6.1xn/a€11.2m
BBEA Boston Beer Company
32.8x16.8%€3.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BBEA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.8x) compared to the peer average (11.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BBEA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Beverage Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a11.2%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a11.2%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BBEA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.8x) compared to the European Beverage industry average (18.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BBEA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BBEA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio32.8x
Fair PE Ratio29.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: BBEA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BBEA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€248.80
€299.16
+20.2%
11.7%€365.02€231.03n/a15
May ’25€259.40
€301.24
+16.1%
11.1%€368.42€233.18n/a16
Apr ’25€281.00
€304.09
+8.2%
12.2%€363.83€236.72n/a15
Mar ’25€280.00
€313.03
+11.8%
17.6%€458.63€237.16n/a14
Feb ’25€326.50
€325.25
-0.4%
17.4%€457.84€236.75n/a14
Jan ’25€315.00
€318.89
+1.2%
17.5%€455.25€235.41n/a15
Dec ’24€325.50
€326.94
+0.4%
17.6%€465.14€240.53n/a15
Nov ’24€311.50
€328.84
+5.6%
18.2%€470.31€243.20n/a14
Oct ’24€368.00
€325.97
-11.4%
19.0%€470.26€243.17n/a14
Sep ’24€339.50
€308.14
-9.2%
18.9%€452.52€234.00n/a14
Aug ’24€333.00
€308.14
-7.5%
18.9%€452.52€234.00n/a14
Jul ’24€281.00
€301.37
+7.2%
19.8%€457.29€207.02n/a13
Jun ’24€309.00
€300.47
-2.8%
20.7%€463.25€209.72n/a14
May ’24€288.50
€292.60
+1.4%
27.8%€553.58€204.19€259.4014
Apr ’24€303.25
€309.69
+2.1%
27.0%€569.01€209.88€281.0015
Mar ’24€297.25
€311.75
+4.9%
26.0%€572.85€211.30€280.0016
Feb ’24€365.40
€319.67
-12.5%
27.5%€609.90€223.02€326.5015
Jan ’24€312.65
€328.75
+5.1%
27.5%€632.08€228.30€315.0016
Dec ’23€364.70
€345.89
-5.2%
27.6%€668.39€241.42€325.5016
Nov ’23€374.05
€354.35
-5.3%
28.0%€678.64€245.12€311.5015
Oct ’23€329.65
€345.70
+4.9%
30.1%€693.80€246.91€368.0014
Sep ’23€336.70
€340.51
+1.1%
29.9%€682.38€242.85€339.5014
Aug ’23€367.75
€336.39
-8.5%
33.8%€724.46€236.92€333.0014
Jul ’23€298.55
€391.45
+31.1%
29.4%€709.73€304.99€281.0014
Jun ’23€321.30
€440.68
+37.2%
26.0%€711.29€321.04€309.0015
May ’23€353.60
€437.26
+23.7%
25.8%€704.33€317.90€288.5015

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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