Heineken Holding Valuation

Is 4H50 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4H50 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 4H50 (€30.4) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€132.02)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4H50 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4H50?

Key metric: As 4H50 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 4H50. This is calculated by dividing 4H50's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 4H50's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio32.4x
Earnings€537.00m
Market Cap€17.40b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 4H50's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 4H50 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14.6x
KUL Kulmbacher Brauerei Aktien-Gesellschaft
23.6xn/a€140.4m
2502 Asahi Group Holdings
14x6.9%JP¥2.4t
CARL B Carlsberg
13.9x12.2%DKK 101.3b
SZU Südzucker
6.7x-10.2%€2.3b
4H50 Heineken Holding
32.4xn/a€17.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 4H50 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.4x) compared to the peer average (14.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 4H50's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Beverage Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
4H50 32.4xIndustry Avg. 17.3xNo. of Companies8PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 4H50 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.4x) compared to the European Beverage industry average (17.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4H50's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4H50 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio32.4x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 4H50's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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