Investors in KWS SAAT SE KGaA (ETR:KWS) have unfortunately lost 11% over the last year
The simplest way to benefit from a rising market is to buy an index fund. When you buy individual stocks, you can make higher profits, but you also face the risk of under-performance. For example, the KWS SAAT SE & Co. KGaA (ETR:KWS) share price is down 12% in the last year. That's disappointing when you consider the market declined 2.6%. On the other hand, the stock is actually up 9.6% over three years.
Since shareholders are down over the longer term, lets look at the underlying fundamentals over the that time and see if they've been consistent with returns.
View our latest analysis for KWS SAAT SE KGaA
While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
Even though the KWS SAAT SE KGaA share price is down over the year, its EPS actually improved. It could be that the share price was previously over-hyped.
The divergence between the EPS and the share price is quite notable, during the year. So it's easy to justify a look at some other metrics.
With a low yield of 1.3% we doubt that the dividend influences the share price much. KWS SAAT SE KGaA managed to grow revenue over the last year, which is usually a real positive. Since we can't easily explain the share price movement based on these metrics, it might be worth considering how market sentiment has changed towards the stock.
The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
We know that KWS SAAT SE KGaA has improved its bottom line lately, but what does the future have in store? You can see what analysts are predicting for KWS SAAT SE KGaA in this interactive graph of future profit estimates.
A Different Perspective
We regret to report that KWS SAAT SE KGaA shareholders are down 11% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 2.6%. However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 3%, each year, over five years. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand KWS SAAT SE KGaA better, we need to consider many other factors. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for KWS SAAT SE KGaA that you should be aware of before investing here.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on DE exchanges.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About XTRA:KWS
KWS SAAT SE KGaA
KWS SAAT SE & Co. KGaA breeds, produces, and distributes seeds for agriculture.
Flawless balance sheet, undervalued and pays a dividend.
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