SFL Valuation

Is UG6 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of UG6 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
€27.21
Fair Value
62.2% undervalued intrinsic discount
4
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: UG6 (€10.29) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€27.21)

Significantly Below Fair Value: UG6 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for UG6?

Key metric: As UG6 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for UG6. This is calculated by dividing UG6's market cap by their current earnings.
What is UG6's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio10x
EarningsUS$141.82m
Market CapUS$1.44b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does UG6's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for UG6 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average30.3x
VH2 Friedrich Vorwerk Group
25.3x13.0%€710.0m
CE2 CropEnergies
84xn/a€1.2b
ETG EnviTec Biogas
8.8xn/a€441.0m
DR0 Deutsche Rohstoff
3x-9.0%€176.5m
UG6 SFL
10x-20.0%€1.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: UG6 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10x) compared to the peer average (30.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does UG6's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Oil and Gas Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
UG6 10.0xIndustry Avg. 8.5xNo. of Companies16PE0612182430+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: UG6 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10x) compared to the European Oil and Gas industry average (8.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is UG6's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

UG6 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10x
Fair PE Ratio10.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: UG6 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst UG6 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€10.29
€12.35
+20.1%
14.9%€15.26€10.30n/a4
Jan ’26€9.60
€12.35
+28.6%
14.9%€15.26€10.30n/a4
Dec ’25€9.84
€12.35
+25.6%
14.9%€15.26€10.30n/a4
Nov ’25€9.76
€12.71
+30.2%
9.1%€14.52€11.35n/a4
Oct ’25€10.36
€12.71
+22.7%
9.1%€14.52€11.35n/a4
Sep ’25€10.67
€12.71
+19.1%
9.1%€14.52€11.35n/a4
Aug ’25€10.87
€13.33
+22.6%
6.5%€14.76€12.45n/a4
Jul ’25€12.80
€12.72
-0.6%
11.7%€14.72€10.58n/a4
Jun ’25€13.15
€12.72
-3.3%
11.7%€14.72€10.58n/a4
May ’25€12.52
€11.56
-7.6%
11.0%€13.73€10.53n/a4
Apr ’25€12.24
€11.56
-5.6%
11.0%€13.73€10.53n/a4
Mar ’25€12.40
€11.23
-9.4%
4.0%€12.07€10.68n/a5
Feb ’25€11.32
€10.52
-7.0%
7.3%€11.90€9.61€10.295
Jan ’25€10.20
€11.63
+14.0%
16.0%€15.00€9.85€9.605
Dec ’24€10.36
€11.63
+12.2%
16.0%€15.00€9.85€9.845
Nov ’24€10.19
€11.31
+11.0%
17.0%€14.71€9.20€9.765
Oct ’24€10.46
€11.31
+8.1%
17.0%€14.71€9.20€10.365
Sep ’24€10.50
€11.31
+7.7%
17.0%€14.71€9.20€10.675
Aug ’24€8.73
€10.80
+23.7%
21.3%€14.70€8.54€10.875
Jul ’24€8.42
€11.24
+33.6%
19.0%€14.91€8.67€12.805
Jun ’24€8.00
€11.24
+40.6%
19.0%€14.91€8.67€13.155
May ’24€8.07
€11.59
+43.6%
14.4%€14.67€10.09€12.525
Apr ’24€8.54
€11.54
+35.0%
13.4%€14.73€10.13€12.246
Mar ’24€9.56
€11.72
+22.6%
13.4%€14.96€10.29€12.406
Feb ’24€9.27
€11.93
+28.6%
12.9%€14.87€10.22€11.326
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 4 Analysts
€12.63
Fair Value
18.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
4
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


Discover undervalued companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/31 04:52
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/31 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

SFL Corporation Ltd. is covered by 21 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Anders RosenlundABG Sundal Collier
Liam BurkeB. Riley Securities, Inc.
Gregory LewisBTIG