Parex Resources Valuation

Is QPX undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of QPX when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: QPX (€10.37) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€11.99)

Significantly Below Fair Value: QPX is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for QPX?

Key metric: As QPX is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for QPX. This is calculated by dividing QPX's market cap by their current earnings.
What is QPX's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio4.1x
EarningsUS$263.51m
Market CapUS$1.08b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does QPX's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for QPX vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average30.1x
DR0 Deutsche Rohstoff
2.9x-8.9%€168.6m
CE2 CropEnergies
15.3x-7.5%€1.0b
CE2 CropEnergies
82.4xn/a€1.2b
VH2 Friedrich Vorwerk Group
19.9x12.9%€559.0m
QPX Parex Resources
4.1x-36.7%€1.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: QPX is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.1x) compared to the peer average (30.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does QPX's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Oil and Gas Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
QPX 4.1xIndustry Avg. 9.2xNo. of Companies18PE0612182430+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: QPX is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.1x) compared to the European Oil and Gas industry average (9.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is QPX's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

QPX PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio4.1x
Fair PE Ratio8.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: QPX is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst QPX forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€10.37
€11.15
+7.6%
9.9%€13.18€9.46n/a7
Nov ’25€8.41
€11.57
+37.5%
20.4%€16.53€8.60n/a7
Oct ’25€7.89
€11.64
+47.5%
18.9%€16.52€8.59n/a9
Sep ’25€8.76
€13.64
+55.7%
22.0%€20.14€10.74n/a8
Aug ’25€13.76
€19.50
+41.7%
10.5%€22.04€15.90n/a8
Jul ’25€14.83
€20.84
+40.5%
8.1%€22.55€18.45n/a8
Jun ’25€15.02
€20.59
+37.1%
7.5%€22.35€18.29n/a10
May ’25€16.44
€20.89
+27.1%
7.6%€22.61€18.50n/a10
Apr ’25€14.61
€20.49
+40.3%
7.8%€22.40€18.32n/a10
Mar ’25€14.15
€21.66
+53.1%
16.5%€31.31€18.38n/a10
Feb ’25€15.21
€22.56
+48.3%
14.4%€31.52€18.64n/a10
Jan ’25€16.89
€24.50
+45.1%
13.8%€31.42€19.61n/a10
Dec ’24€18.79
€24.16
+28.6%
13.3%€31.14€19.43n/a11
Nov ’24€18.08
€24.26
+34.2%
14.1%€31.50€19.66€8.4111
Oct ’24€17.60
€24.76
+40.7%
14.3%€32.04€19.92€7.8911
Sep ’24€17.34
€24.64
+42.1%
12.5%€31.60€20.61€8.7612
Aug ’24€19.83
€24.64
+24.3%
12.5%€31.60€20.61€13.7612
Jul ’24€18.25
€24.26
+32.9%
12.8%€31.80€20.05€14.8311
Jun ’24€18.88
€24.31
+28.8%
14.4%€32.91€19.88€15.0211
May ’24€18.01
€23.62
+31.2%
15.5%€32.11€18.73€16.4411
Apr ’24€16.90
€22.83
+35.1%
18.1%€32.79€17.76€14.6111
Mar ’24€15.50
€23.63
+52.4%
23.1%€37.32€17.97€14.1511
Feb ’24€15.60
€23.17
+48.5%
24.1%€36.99€16.44€15.2111
Jan ’24€13.80
€23.73
+72.0%
25.4%€37.47€16.65€16.8910
Dec ’23€13.60
€25.13
+84.8%
24.3%€38.88€17.28€18.7910
Nov ’23€15.70
€27.66
+76.2%
18.7%€39.83€21.39€18.0810

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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