North American Construction Group Ltd.

DB:N5Z Stock Report

Market Cap: €508.2m

North American Construction Group Valuation

Is N5Z undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of N5Z when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: N5Z (€19.3) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€51.6)

Significantly Below Fair Value: N5Z is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for N5Z?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

N5Z key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA5.7x
PEG Ratio0.3x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does N5Z's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for N5Z vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17.3x
ETG EnviTec Biogas
7.1xn/a€421.7m
CE2 CropEnergies
15.3x-7.5%€1.0b
CE2 CropEnergies
15.6x-7.5%€1.0b
VH2 Friedrich Vorwerk Group
31.1x28.6%€316.0m
N5Z North American Construction Group
13.8x43.9%€745.6m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: N5Z is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.8x) compared to the peer average (17.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does N5Z's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Energy Services Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a9.4%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a9.4%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: N5Z is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.8x) compared to the European Energy Services industry average (11.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is N5Z's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

N5Z PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13.8x
Fair PE Ratio31x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: N5Z is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst N5Z forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€19.30
€27.77
+43.9%
14.9%€35.44€22.49n/a8
Apr ’25€20.60
€28.14
+36.6%
14.5%€35.26€22.38n/a8
Mar ’25€22.80
€27.54
+20.8%
13.0%€33.00€22.34n/a8
Feb ’25€20.80
€27.41
+31.8%
12.4%€33.05€22.38n/a8
Jan ’25€18.40
€27.26
+48.2%
12.4%€32.87€22.26n/a8
Dec ’24€18.40
€26.71
+45.1%
12.2%€32.50€22.01n/a8
Nov ’24€19.10
€27.68
+44.9%
11.4%€33.06€22.38n/a8
Oct ’24€20.20
€28.30
+40.1%
11.0%€33.60€22.75n/a8
Sep ’24€22.40
€26.94
+20.3%
12.1%€32.90€22.27n/a8
Aug ’24€21.80
€26.94
+23.6%
12.1%€32.90€22.27n/a8
Jul ’24€17.20
€21.05
+22.4%
6.6%€23.01€18.83n/a8
Jun ’24€16.90
€20.15
+19.2%
6.6%€22.02€18.02n/a8
May ’24€16.90
€20.15
+19.2%
6.6%€22.02€18.02€20.408
Apr ’24€14.80
€18.60
+25.7%
9.1%€22.20€16.31€20.608
Mar ’24€15.60
€18.60
+19.3%
9.1%€22.20€16.31€22.808
Feb ’24€13.40
€16.25
+21.2%
6.7%€17.28€13.83€20.808
Jan ’24€12.10
€15.57
+28.7%
8.6%€17.35€12.84€18.408
Dec ’23€12.60
€16.37
+29.9%
9.4%€18.44€13.65€18.408
Nov ’23€12.40
€16.37
+32.0%
9.4%€18.44€13.65€19.108
Oct ’23€9.50
€16.20
+70.5%
11.7%€19.11€13.38€20.208
Sep ’23€11.20
€16.20
+44.6%
11.7%€19.11€13.38€22.408
Aug ’23€10.60
€16.20
+52.8%
11.7%€19.11€13.38€21.808
Jul ’23€10.20
€19.47
+90.9%
10.1%€21.94€16.09€17.208
Jun ’23€12.20
€19.93
+63.3%
10.4%€22.14€16.24€16.908
May ’23€12.20
€19.93
+63.3%
10.4%€22.14€16.24€16.908

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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