Kistos Holdings Plc

DB:LU0 Stock Report

Market Cap: €93.8m

Kistos Holdings Valuation

Is LU0 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LU0 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: LU0 (€1.08) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€25.79)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LU0 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LU0?

Key metric: As LU0 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for LU0. This is calculated by dividing LU0's market cap by their current revenue.
What is LU0's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.5x
Sales€206.52m
Market Cap€93.78m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does LU0's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for LU0 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.9x
DR0 Deutsche Rohstoff
0.7x-3.7%€157.7m
4DS Daldrup & Söhne
0.8x1.3%€49.0m
ETG EnviTec Biogas
1xn/a€455.9m
VH2 Friedrich Vorwerk Group
1.2x11.9%€500.0m
LU0 Kistos Holdings
0.5x20.1%€77.9m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: LU0 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the peer average (0.9x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does LU0's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Oil and Gas Industry?

21 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
LU0 0.5xIndustry Avg. 1.2xNo. of Companies21PS00.81.62.43.24+
21 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: LU0 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the European Oil and Gas industry average (1.1x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LU0's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LU0 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.5x
Fair PS Ratio1.3x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: LU0 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LU0 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€1.08
€3.47
+221.1%
20.5%€4.18€2.76n/a2
Nov ’25€1.23
€3.47
+181.9%
20.5%€4.18€2.76n/a2
Oct ’25€1.30
€3.47
+166.7%
20.5%€4.18€2.76n/a2
Sep ’25€1.59
€4.22
+165.5%
16.3%€4.91€3.54n/a2
Aug ’25€1.48
€4.21
+184.6%
17.0%€4.93€3.50n/a2
Jul ’25€1.52
€4.21
+177.1%
17.0%€4.93€3.50n/a2
Jun ’25€1.60
€4.21
+163.4%
15.4%€4.86€3.57n/a2
May ’25€2.08
€5.33
+156.3%
0.2%€5.34€5.32n/a2
Apr ’25€1.66
€5.33
+220.3%
0.2%€5.34€5.32n/a2
Mar ’25€1.95
€5.50
+181.9%
2.9%€5.66€5.34n/a2
Feb ’25€1.65
€6.58
+297.7%
13.9%€7.49€5.66n/a2
Jan ’25€1.87
€6.47
+245.9%
14.2%€7.39€5.55n/a2
Dec ’24€2.20
€6.44
+193.3%
14.8%€7.39€5.49n/a2
Nov ’24€2.14
€6.44
+201.6%
14.8%€7.39€5.49€1.232
Oct ’24€2.48
€6.44
+160.1%
14.8%€7.39€5.49€1.302
Sep ’24€2.85
€6.82
+139.5%
18.6%€8.09€5.56€1.592
Aug ’24€2.79
€6.82
+144.6%
18.6%€8.09€5.56€1.482
Jul ’24€2.81
€7.38
+162.7%
3.6%€7.65€7.11€1.522
Jun ’24€2.64
€7.35
+178.5%
3.2%€7.59€7.11€1.602
May ’24€3.36
€8.22
+145.1%
13.5%€9.33€7.11€2.082
Apr ’24€3.21
€7.84
+144.7%
12.6%€8.83€6.86€1.662
Mar ’24€3.70
€7.84
+112.3%
12.6%€8.83€6.86€1.952
Feb ’24n/a
€7.84
0%
12.6%€8.83€6.86€1.652
Jan ’24n/a
€9.38
0%
19.4%€11.20€7.56€1.872
Dec ’23€5.20
€9.38
+80.4%
19.4%€11.20€7.56€2.202
Nov ’23€4.42
€9.45
+113.8%
18.5%€11.20€7.70€2.142

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.

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