Capricorn Energy PLC

DB:FKG0 Stock Report

Market Cap: €201.3m

Capricorn Energy Valuation

Is FKG0 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of FKG0 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: FKG0 (€2.84) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€0.24)

Significantly Below Fair Value: FKG0 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FKG0?

Key metric: As FKG0 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for FKG0. This is calculated by dividing FKG0's market cap by their current revenue.
What is FKG0's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1.1x
SalesUS$183.00m
Market CapUS$209.60m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does FKG0's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for FKG0 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.9x
DR0 Deutsche Rohstoff
0.7x-3.7%€168.6m
ETG EnviTec Biogas
1xn/a€467.8m
VH2 Friedrich Vorwerk Group
1.3x10.2%€559.0m
VBK Verbio
0.4x7.7%€685.4m
FKG0 Capricorn Energy
1.1x-13.8%€167.3m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: FKG0 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.1x) compared to the peer average (0.9x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does FKG0's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Oil and Gas Industry?

21 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
FKG0 1.1xIndustry Avg. 1.2xNo. of Companies21PS00.81.62.43.24+
21 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: FKG0 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.1x) compared to the European Oil and Gas industry average (1.2x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FKG0's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FKG0 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.1x
Fair PS Ratio1.2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: FKG0 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst FKG0 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€2.84
€3.16
+11.1%
29.5%€5.18€2.47n/a6
Nov ’25€2.42
€2.67
+10.2%
7.7%€2.98€2.37n/a5
Oct ’25€2.35
€2.66
+12.9%
10.0%€3.12€2.32n/a5
Sep ’25€2.65
€2.81
+6.2%
9.8%€3.19€2.46n/a5
Aug ’25€2.21
€2.81
+26.9%
9.8%€3.19€2.46n/a5
Jul ’25€2.06
€2.77
+34.1%
9.4%€3.23€2.47n/a5
Jun ’25€2.20
€2.63
+19.8%
13.9%€3.20€2.04n/a5
May ’25€2.52
€2.77
+9.8%
21.5%€3.90€2.26n/a5
Apr ’25€2.46
€2.69
+9.3%
22.6%€3.87€2.24n/a5
Mar ’25€1.72
€2.64
+53.7%
20.9%€3.73€2.24n/a5
Feb ’25€2.10
€2.67
+27.2%
19.9%€3.73€2.29n/a5
Jan ’25€2.43
€3.88
+59.3%
17.4%€5.01€2.77n/a6
Dec ’24€2.18
€4.19
+92.1%
11.9%€5.01€3.57n/a6
Nov ’24€2.23
€4.22
+89.5%
10.5%€4.93€3.64€2.426
Oct ’24€3.98
€4.81
+20.7%
17.5%€6.45€3.78€2.356
Sep ’24€3.82
€5.90
+54.6%
35.7%€10.37€4.11€2.656
Aug ’24€3.93
€6.60
+68.2%
29.8%€10.17€4.65€2.217
Jul ’24€4.09
€7.73
+88.9%
36.6%€12.86€4.80€2.067
Jun ’24€4.33
€10.54
+143.4%
14.2%€11.84€7.06€2.207
May ’24€9.89
€11.57
+17.0%
13.3%€14.71€10.21€2.527
Apr ’24€10.49
€12.70
+21.1%
14.3%€16.54€10.46€2.467
Mar ’24€11.30
€12.86
+13.8%
13.0%€16.77€10.60€1.728
Feb ’24€10.99
€12.48
+13.6%
13.1%€16.40€10.82€2.108
Jan ’24€11.72
€12.42
+5.9%
12.5%€15.94€10.85€2.438
Dec ’23€11.55
€12.42
+7.5%
12.5%€15.94€10.85€2.188
Nov ’23€11.41
€12.98
+13.8%
12.5%€16.71€11.38€2.238

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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