Evolution Petroleum Corporation

DB:EP7 Stock Report

Market Cap: €128.3m

Evolution Petroleum Valuation

Is EP7 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of EP7 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: EP7 (€3.8) is trading below our estimate of future cash flow value (€69.11)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: EP7 is trading below future cash flow value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for EP7?

Key metric: As EP7 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for EP7. This is calculated by dividing EP7's market cap by their current earnings.
What is EP7's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio55x
EarningsUS$2.75m
Market CapUS$151.16m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does EP7's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for EP7 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average29.7x
DR0 Deutsche Rohstoff
8.8x-12.46%€316.7m
ETG EnviTec Biogas
18.6xn/a€259.9m
4DS Daldrup & Söhne
65.9x13.57%€173.0m
EPSN Epsilon Energy
25.4xn/aUS$149.2m
EP7 Evolution Petroleum
55x-182.06%€151.2m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: EP7 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (55x) compared to the peer average (29.7x).

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does EP7's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Oil and Gas Industry?

12 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
EP7 55.0xIndustry Avg. 15.0xNo. of Companies12PE0816243240+
12 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: EP7 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (55x) compared to the European Oil and Gas industry average (14.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is EP7's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

EP7 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio55x
Fair PE Ratio1.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: EP7 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (55x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (1.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst EP7 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€3.80
€4.33
+13.89%
15.62%€5.27€3.37n/a4
Feb ’27€3.26
€4.36
+33.67%
15.62%€5.30€3.39n/a4
Jan ’27€3.02
€4.36
+44.29%
15.62%€5.30€3.39n/a4
Dec ’26€3.36
€4.42
+31.62%
21.95%€5.39€3.45n/a2
Nov ’26€3.82
€4.57
+19.76%
16.28%€5.32€3.83n/a2
Oct ’26€4.08
€4.57
+12.12%
16.28%€5.32€3.83n/a2
Sep ’26€4.36
€4.37
+0.26%
11.76%€4.89€3.86n/a2
Aug ’26€4.20
€5.30
+26.25%
25.43%€7.11€3.88n/a3
Jul ’26€3.96
€5.29
+33.70%
25.43%€7.10€3.87n/a3
Jun ’26€3.94
€5.45
+38.37%
25.43%€7.31€3.99n/a3
May ’26€3.76
€5.82
+54.72%
24.53%€7.24€4.39n/a2
Apr ’26€4.76
€6.83
+43.55%
11.86%€7.64€6.02n/a2
Mar ’26€4.76
€7.03
+47.65%
11.86%€7.86€6.19n/a2
Feb ’26€5.20
€7.20
+38.39%
8.20%€7.79€6.61€3.262
Jan ’26€4.80
€7.20
+49.93%
8.20%€7.79€6.61€3.022
Dec ’25€5.45
€7.20
+32.05%
8.20%€7.79€6.61€3.362
Nov ’25€4.70
€7.04
+49.82%
8.20%€7.62€6.46€3.822
Oct ’25€4.74
€7.79
+64.29%
4.35%€8.13€7.45€4.082
Sep ’25€4.66
€7.79
+67.11%
4.35%€8.13€7.45€4.362
Aug ’25€5.15
€7.91
+53.66%
4.35%€8.26€7.57€4.202
Jul ’25€4.88
€7.91
+62.16%
4.35%€8.26€7.57€3.962
Jun ’25€5.20
€8.00
+53.82%
4.35%€8.35€7.65€3.942
May ’25€5.45
€7.65
+40.30%
1.54%€7.76€7.53€3.762
Apr ’25€5.50
€7.54
+37.12%
1.54%€7.66€7.43€4.762
Mar ’25€5.55
€7.54
+35.89%
1.54%€7.66€7.43€4.762
Feb ’25€5.15
€8.51
+65.24%
2.70%€8.74€8.28€5.202
€4.41
Fair Value
13.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
4
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/02/22 17:28
End of Day Share Price 2026/02/20 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Evolution Petroleum Corporation is covered by 7 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Charles FrattAlliance Global Partners
Sergey PigarevFreedom Broker
Jeffrey GramppNorthland Capital Markets