Headwater Exploration Inc.

DB:C6V Stock Report

Market Cap: €1.1b

Headwater Exploration Valuation

Is C6V undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of C6V when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: C6V (€4.52) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€7.85)

Significantly Below Fair Value: C6V is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for C6V?

Key metric: As C6V is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for C6V. This is calculated by dividing C6V's market cap by their current earnings.
What is C6V's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio8.7x
EarningsCA$184.59m
Market CapCA$1.60b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does C6V's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for C6V vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average27.5x
DR0 Deutsche Rohstoff
2.9x-8.9%€167.6m
CE2 CropEnergies
15.3x-7.5%€1.0b
CE2 CropEnergies
83.2xn/a€1.2b
ETG EnviTec Biogas
8.7xn/a€433.6m
C6V Headwater Exploration
8.7x-16.7%€1.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: C6V is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.7x) compared to the peer average (27.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does C6V's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Oil and Gas Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
C6V 8.7xIndustry Avg. 8.7xNo. of Companies16PE0612182430+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: C6V is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.7x) compared to the European Oil and Gas industry average (8.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is C6V's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

C6V PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio8.7x
Fair PE Ratio11.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: C6V is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst C6V forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€4.52
€6.16
+36.2%
6.5%€6.70€5.53n/a8
Dec ’25€4.62
€6.30
+36.3%
5.3%€6.71€5.70n/a7
Nov ’25€4.40
€6.24
+41.9%
6.7%€6.98€5.65n/a7
Oct ’25€4.16
€6.32
+52.0%
5.7%€6.96€5.96n/a6
Sep ’25€4.56
€6.59
+44.4%
5.8%€7.00€6.00n/a6
Aug ’25€4.74
€6.59
+38.9%
5.8%€7.00€6.00n/a6
Jul ’25€4.90
€6.63
+35.3%
6.3%€7.08€6.07n/a6
Jun ’25€5.05
€6.68
+32.4%
5.9%€7.12€6.10n/a7
May ’25€5.10
€6.51
+27.6%
6.3%€7.17€5.97n/a7
Apr ’25€5.25
€6.02
+14.7%
4.7%€6.46€5.44n/a7
Mar ’25€4.70
€5.82
+23.9%
6.5%€6.54€5.51n/a6
Feb ’25€4.24
€5.94
+40.1%
7.3%€6.50€5.48n/a7
Jan ’25€4.22
€6.34
+50.3%
7.0%€6.83€5.47€4.307
Dec ’24€4.80
€6.41
+33.6%
3.1%€6.71€6.04€4.628
Nov ’24€5.10
€6.47
+26.9%
4.7%€6.81€5.79€4.408
Oct ’24€5.00
€6.53
+30.5%
5.3%€6.94€5.90€4.168
Sep ’24€4.92
€6.32
+28.4%
4.5%€6.79€5.77€4.569
Aug ’24€5.05
€6.09
+20.5%
6.5%€6.53€5.49€4.749
Jul ’24€4.38
€6.04
+37.8%
6.2%€6.51€5.49€4.909
Jun ’24€4.44
€6.04
+36.0%
6.2%€6.51€5.49€5.059
May ’24€4.16
€6.17
+48.2%
4.9%€6.43€5.41€5.109
Apr ’24€4.28
€6.18
+44.4%
6.1%€6.78€5.43€5.259
Mar ’24€4.26
€6.34
+48.7%
6.9%€6.91€5.53€4.709
Feb ’24€4.30
€6.34
+47.4%
6.9%€6.91€5.53€4.249
Jan ’24€3.92
€6.60
+68.3%
6.8%€7.25€5.52€4.229

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/03 14:26
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/02 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Headwater Exploration Inc. is covered by 21 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Laique Ahmad Amir ArifATB Capital Markets
Patrick O'RourkeATB Capital Markets
Kuno RyckborstBeacon Securities Limited