Beach Energy Limited

DB:BPS Stock Report

Market Cap: €1.9b

Beach Energy Valuation

Is BPS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BPS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BPS (€0.84) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€4.19)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BPS is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BPS?

Key metric: As BPS is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for BPS. This is calculated by dividing BPS's market cap by their current revenue.
What is BPS's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1.8x
SalesAU$1.80b
Market CapAU$3.23b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does BPS's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for BPS vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.8x
DR0 Deutsche Rohstoff
0.7x-3.7%€167.6m
CE2 CropEnergies
0.8x-14.0%€1.0b
VBK Verbio
0.5x7.7%€778.9m
VH2 Friedrich Vorwerk Group
1.2x10.2%€548.0m
BPS Beach Energy
1.8x4.4%€3.2b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: BPS is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.8x) compared to the peer average (0.8x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does BPS's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Oil and Gas Industry?

22 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
BPS 1.8xIndustry Avg. 1.2xNo. of Companies22PS00.81.62.43.24+
22 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: BPS is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.8x) compared to the European Oil and Gas industry average (1.2x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BPS's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BPS PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.8x
Fair PS Ratio0.8x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: BPS is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BPS forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€0.84
€0.92
+9.9%
20.4%€1.45€0.73n/a16
Dec ’25€0.75
€0.93
+24.6%
20.5%€1.47€0.67n/a15
Nov ’25€0.73
€0.93
+27.1%
20.5%€1.47€0.67n/a15
Oct ’25€0.70
€0.93
+32.3%
21.0%€1.48€0.68n/a16
Sep ’25€0.73
€0.95
+29.8%
24.9%€1.56€0.66n/a17
Aug ’25€0.88
€1.08
+23.1%
19.5%€1.57€0.79n/a17
Jul ’25€0.88
€1.11
+26.4%
18.8%€1.60€0.87n/a17
Jun ’25€0.98
€1.15
+17.5%
14.0%€1.57€0.95n/a17
May ’25€0.94
€1.15
+23.2%
14.0%€1.57€0.95n/a17
Apr ’25€1.07
€1.20
+12.0%
12.1%€1.56€1.00n/a17
Mar ’25€0.94
€1.16
+22.6%
13.5%€1.55€0.99n/a17
Feb ’25€0.98
€1.10
+11.7%
13.7%€1.52€0.94n/a16
Jan ’25€0.96
€1.09
+13.3%
14.6%€1.52€0.91€0.8217
Dec ’24€0.87
€1.07
+23.3%
14.8%€1.50€0.90€0.7517
Nov ’24€0.89
€1.07
+20.6%
14.8%€1.50€0.90€0.7317
Oct ’24€0.96
€1.09
+12.5%
13.4%€1.52€0.91€0.7017
Sep ’24€0.91
€1.07
+18.1%
15.5%€1.48€0.88€0.7319
Aug ’24€0.96
€1.15
+19.4%
19.6%€1.89€0.92€0.8819
Jul ’24€0.79
€1.12
+41.8%
20.2%€1.84€0.83€0.8819
Jun ’24€0.81
€1.11
+35.8%
20.6%€1.83€0.82€0.9818
May ’24€0.84
€1.11
+31.6%
19.6%€1.79€0.88€0.9418
Apr ’24€0.83
€1.17
+40.3%
19.3%€1.85€0.92€1.0718
Mar ’24€0.88
€1.21
+37.6%
19.1%€1.91€0.95€0.9418
Feb ’24€0.93
€1.30
+40.3%
20.8%€2.00€0.94€0.9818
Jan ’24€0.98
€1.32
+34.5%
18.0%€1.94€0.97€0.9618

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/02 01:37
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/02 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Beach Energy Limited is covered by 28 analysts. 15 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Russell WrightBarclay Pearce Capital Pty Limited
Dale KoendersBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Benjamin BrayshawBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited