APA Valuation

Is 2S3 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 2S3 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 2S3 (€20.74) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€66.81)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 2S3 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 2S3?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

2S3 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA3.1x
PEG Ratio-0.1x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 2S3's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 2S3 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average39.7x
DR0 Deutsche Rohstoff
2.5x-13.5%€168.7m
CE2 CropEnergies
82.4xn/a€1.2b
VBK Verbio
58.5x32.4%€1.2b
CE2 CropEnergies
15.3x-7.5%€1.0b
2S3 APA
3.1x-22.2%€9.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 2S3 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (3.1x) compared to the peer average (39.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 2S3's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Oil and Gas Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a1.9%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a1.9%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 2S3 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (3.1x) compared to the European Oil and Gas industry average (8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 2S3's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

2S3 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio3.1x
Fair PE Ratio14.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 2S3 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (3.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 2S3 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€22.00
€32.22
+46.5%
20.0%€46.70€24.25n/a30
Sep ’25€26.43
€34.41
+30.2%
19.0%€51.28€25.19n/a30
Aug ’25€29.19
€35.97
+23.3%
18.9%€52.82€25.02n/a30
Jul ’25€27.26
€37.20
+36.5%
19.7%€53.26€25.23n/a29
Jun ’25€27.34
€37.36
+36.7%
19.8%€52.54€24.89n/a29
May ’25€30.33
€38.96
+28.5%
18.4%€54.33€26.23n/a30
Apr ’25€30.96
€38.01
+22.8%
18.2%€54.93€27.93n/a25
Mar ’25€27.69
€38.58
+39.4%
19.7%€59.98€29.53n/a25
Feb ’25€28.86
€40.54
+40.5%
20.3%€58.96€29.48n/a25
Jan ’25€32.43
€43.14
+33.0%
16.2%€55.44€31.81n/a28
Dec ’24€32.79
€44.90
+36.9%
16.3%€59.60€31.17n/a28
Nov ’24€37.61
€48.12
+28.0%
14.9%€61.42€32.13n/a28
Oct ’24€39.94
€48.21
+20.7%
14.2%€61.87€32.36n/a28
Sep ’24€40.00
€46.48
+16.2%
14.4%€60.34€31.56€26.4328
Aug ’24€36.35
€41.43
+14.0%
17.3%€58.81€27.14€29.1928
Jul ’24€31.42
€43.27
+37.8%
19.0%€63.23€32.07€27.2627
Jun ’24€29.30
€44.36
+51.4%
18.0%€64.31€32.62€27.3427
May ’24€33.31
€44.96
+35.0%
16.5%€65.64€32.82€30.3328
Apr ’24€32.81
€45.27
+38.0%
15.1%€59.30€30.57€30.9628
Mar ’24€36.58
€48.18
+31.7%
12.9%€60.03€36.58€27.6927
Feb ’24€39.84
€48.08
+20.7%
15.5%€64.63€31.86€28.8628
Jan ’24€42.34
€51.65
+22.0%
16.4%€66.92€32.99€32.4327
Dec ’23€45.29
€52.10
+15.0%
17.9%€68.15€28.79€32.7927
Nov ’23€45.78
€52.98
+15.7%
18.5%€75.97€30.39€37.6126
Oct ’23€35.16
€54.04
+53.7%
20.8%€75.83€29.93€39.9425
Sep ’23€38.09
€52.51
+37.9%
20.6%€76.41€30.16€40.0026

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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