Viva Energy Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Viva Energy Group is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 25.8% and 2% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 26.3% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 23.4% in 3 years.

Key information

25.8%

Earnings growth rate

26.3%

EPS growth rate

Oil and Gas earnings growth	6.7%
Revenue growth rate	2.0%
Future return on equity	23.4%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	23 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

DB:2AH - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (AUD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	32,032	296	349	798	6
12/31/2025	30,581	331	417	811	8
12/31/2024	29,629	179	123	754	8
6/30/2024	28,399	161	253	720	N/A
3/31/2024	27,570	83	220	700	N/A
12/31/2023	26,741	4	186	679	N/A
9/30/2023	27,190	-40	256	720	N/A
6/30/2023	27,638	-84	326	760	N/A
3/31/2023	27,035	215	564	933	N/A
12/31/2022	26,433	514	802	1,106	N/A
9/30/2022	23,316	569	737	1,002	N/A
6/30/2022	20,200	624	671	899	N/A
3/31/2022	18,050	428	508	715	N/A
12/31/2021	15,900	233	346	531	N/A
9/30/2021	14,430	158	307	476	N/A
6/30/2021	12,960	83	267	422	N/A
3/31/2021	12,685	23	160	316	N/A
12/31/2020	12,410	-36	52	210	N/A
9/30/2020	13,858	9	93	244	N/A
6/30/2020	15,306	55	134	278	N/A
3/31/2020	15,924	84	119	340	N/A
12/31/2019	16,542	113	104	403	N/A
9/30/2019	16,115	309	144	457	N/A
6/30/2019	15,689	505	185	511	N/A
3/31/2019	16,042	542	114	399	N/A
12/31/2018	16,395	580	44	287	N/A
12/31/2017	13,905	290	N/A	162	N/A
12/31/2016	14,139	1,219	N/A	444	N/A
12/31/2015	16,504	160	N/A	701	N/A
12/31/2014	6,813	177	N/A	-95	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: 2AH's forecast earnings growth (25.8% per year) is above the savings rate (1%).

Earnings vs Market: 2AH's earnings (25.8% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the German market (20.6% per year).

High Growth Earnings: 2AH's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: 2AH's revenue (2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the German market (5.7% per year).

High Growth Revenue: 2AH's revenue (2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: 2AH's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (23.4%)

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/26 00:42
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/23 00:00
Earnings	2024/06/30
Annual Earnings	2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Viva Energy Group Limited is covered by 20 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Russell Wright	Barclay Pearce Capital Pty Limited
Dale Koenders	Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Nicholas McGarrigle	Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited

Viva Energy Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Viva Energy Group Limited Provides Unaudited Financial Guidance for the Full Year Ending 31 December 2021

Recent updates

Viva Energy Group Limited (ASX:VEA) agreed to acquire remaining 50% stake in Loc Global Pty Ltd from New World Corporation Pty Ltd.

Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

CEO, MD & Executive Director recently sold €843k worth of stock

First half dividend of AU$0.067 announced

First half 2024 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.051 (vs AU$0.05 loss in 1H 2023)

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

Viva Energy Group Limited(ASX:VEA) dropped from S&P/ASX Small Ordinaries Index

Viva Energy Group Limited to Report First Half, 2024 Results on Aug 26, 2024

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

CEO, MD & Executive Director recently sold €1.1m worth of stock

Viva Energy Group Limited (ASX:VEA) completed the acquisition of OTR Group from Peregrine Corporation for AUD 1.21 billion.

New minor risk - Shareholder dilution

Viva Energy Group Limited, Annual General Meeting, May 21, 2024

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.071 per share

Now 21% overvalued after recent price rise

Final dividend of AU$0.071 announced

Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.002 (vs AU$0.33 in FY 2022)

Viva Energy Group Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Results on Feb 21, 2024

Now 20% overvalued after recent price rise

New minor risk - Insider selling

CEO, MD & Executive Director recently sold €758k worth of stock

Insufficient new directors

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.085 per share at 8.7% yield

First half 2023 earnings released: AU$0.05 loss per share (vs AU$0.34 profit in 1H 2022)

Viva Energy Group Limited Declares Interim Dividend for the Half Year Ended June 30, 2023, Payable on 20 September 2023

New major risk - Dividend sustainability

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

Viva Energy Group Limited to Report First Half, 2023 Results on Aug 22, 2023

CEO, MD & Executive Director recently sold €924k worth of stock

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.13 per share at 9.1% yield

Full year 2022 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.33 (vs AU$0.15 in FY 2021)

Viva Energy Group Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2022 Results on Feb 21, 2023

Viva Energy Group Limited Announces Chief Financial Officer Changes

Viva Energy Reportedly in the Mix as Auction for Chemicals Group Ixom Nears End

CEO, MD & Executive Director recently sold €368k worth of stock

Viva Energy Group Limited (ASX:VEA) entered into a binding agreement to acquire Fuel and Convenience Retailing Business from Coles Group Limited (ASX:COL) for AUD 300 million.

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.14 per share

First half 2022 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.34 (vs AU$0.084 in 1H 2021)

Viva Energy Group Limited Announces Ordinary Fully Franked Interim Dividend for the Six Months Ended June 30, 2022, Payable on 22 September 2022

Viva Energy Group Limited to Report First Half, 2022 Results on Aug 25, 2022

Viva Energy Group Limited (ASX:VEA) agreed to acquire LyondellBasell Australia Pty Ltd. from LyondellBasell Industries N.V. (NYSE:LYB).

CEO, MD & Executive Director recently sold €181k worth of stock

Full year 2021 earnings: EPS in line with expectations, revenues disappoint

Viva Energy Group Limited Declares Ordinary Distribution for the Six Months Ended December 31, 2021 Payable on March 24, 2022

Viva Energy Group Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2021 Results on Feb 21, 2022

Viva Energy Group Limited Finalizes the Terms of the Grant Agreement in Relation to the Federal Government's Boosting Australia's Diesel Storage Program

Viva Energy Group Limited Provides Unaudited Financial Guidance for the Full Year Ending 31 December 2021

CEO, MD & Executive Director recently sold €350k worth of stock

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Discover growth companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data Sources

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Industry and Sector Metrics

Analyst Sources