Freehold Royalties Valuation

Is 1FH undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1FH when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 1FH (€9.38) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€24.03)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1FH is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1FH?

Key metric: As 1FH is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 1FH. This is calculated by dividing 1FH's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 1FH's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio15.9x
EarningsCA$132.65m
Market CapCA$2.12b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 1FH's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 1FH vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average30.1x
DR0 Deutsche Rohstoff
2.7x-8.9%€161.2m
CE2 CropEnergies
82.4xn/a€1.2b
CE2 CropEnergies
15.3x-7.5%€1.0b
VH2 Friedrich Vorwerk Group
20.1x12.9%€564.0m
1FH Freehold Royalties
15.9x-0.7%€2.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 1FH is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.9x) compared to the peer average (30.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 1FH's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Oil and Gas Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
1FH 15.9xIndustry Avg. 8.3xNo. of Companies18PE0612182430+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 1FH is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.9x) compared to the European Oil and Gas industry average (8.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1FH's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1FH PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio15.9x
Fair PE Ratio15.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 1FH is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1FH forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€9.38
€11.53
+23.0%
8.2%€14.08€10.06n/a15
Nov ’25€8.96
€11.53
+28.7%
8.2%€14.07€10.05n/a15
Oct ’25€9.23
€11.64
+26.1%
7.9%€13.91€9.94n/a14
Sep ’25€9.14
€11.81
+29.3%
7.7%€14.03€10.02n/a14
Aug ’25€9.39
€11.81
+25.8%
7.7%€14.03€10.02n/a14
Jul ’25€9.17
€12.15
+32.6%
7.4%€14.23€10.17n/a14
Jun ’25€9.48
€12.15
+28.2%
7.4%€14.23€10.17n/a14
May ’25€9.77
€12.21
+25.0%
7.5%€14.34€10.24n/a14
Apr ’25€9.88
€12.14
+22.8%
7.8%€14.26€10.18n/a14
Mar ’25€9.31
€12.44
+33.6%
6.2%€13.63€10.91n/a13
Feb ’25€9.50
€12.60
+32.6%
6.2%€13.77€11.01n/a14
Jan ’25€9.26
€13.02
+40.6%
5.4%€14.00€11.44n/a14
Dec ’24€9.34
€12.92
+38.3%
7.2%€13.88€10.49n/a15
Nov ’24€9.70
€13.11
+35.2%
6.7%€14.06€10.98€8.9615
Oct ’24€10.40
€12.96
+24.6%
6.8%€13.70€10.96€9.2315
Sep ’24€9.73
€12.77
+31.2%
6.6%€13.55€10.84€9.1415
Aug ’24€9.50
€13.05
+37.4%
9.2%€16.44€10.96€9.3915
Jul ’24€9.20
€13.40
+45.6%
6.2%€14.52€11.75€9.1715
Jun ’24€9.70
€13.45
+38.7%
8.3%€16.44€11.64€9.4816
May ’24€9.67
€13.22
+36.7%
8.6%€16.05€11.37€9.7716
Apr ’24€9.71
€13.80
+42.1%
7.7%€16.32€11.56€9.8816
Mar ’24€10.64
€14.15
+33.0%
9.8%€18.72€12.48€9.3116
Feb ’24€11.07
€14.15
+27.9%
9.7%€18.67€12.45€9.5016
Jan ’24€10.82
€14.19
+31.1%
9.3%€18.60€12.40€9.2616
Dec ’23€11.81
€15.04
+27.4%
9.2%€19.66€13.10€9.3416
Nov ’23€12.70
€14.94
+17.6%
11.0%€20.07€12.27€9.7016

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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