Advanced Flower Capital Inc.

MUN:0FG Stock Report

Market Cap: €189.9m

Advanced Flower Capital Valuation

Is 0FG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0FG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0FG (€9.15) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€11.79)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0FG is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0FG?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

0FG key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenuen/a
Enterprise Value/EBITDAn/a
PEG Ratio0.6x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0FG's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0FG vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average9.5x
HXCK Ernst Russ
3.1x-23.5%€189.3m
OT8 Eleving Group
9.5xn/a€192.3m
BWB Baader Bank
14.9xn/a€195.2m
MPCK MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital
10.4x1.1%€178.0m
0FG Advanced Flower Capital
13.9x22.8%€206.1m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0FG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.9x) compared to the peer average (9.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0FG's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Mortgage REITs Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a48.7%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a48.7%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0FG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.9x) compared to the Global Mortgage REITs industry average (11.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0FG's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0FG PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13.9x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 0FG's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0FG forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
€11.31
0%
15.7%€12.93€8.31n/a4
Oct ’25€9.70
€10.87
+12.0%
18.0%€12.68€8.15n/a3
Sep ’25n/a
€11.79
0%
22.6%€14.52€8.16n/a3
Aug ’25€8.50
€12.37
+45.5%
18.7%€14.84€9.27n/a3
Jul ’25€11.30
€12.37
+9.4%
18.7%€14.84€9.27n/a3
Jun ’25€10.70
€12.37
+15.6%
18.7%€14.84€9.27n/a3
May ’25n/a
€12.81
0%
19.2%€15.00€9.37n/a3
Apr ’25€11.80
€13.42
+13.8%
25.1%€17.39€9.15n/a3
Mar ’25€10.50
€13.53
+28.9%
25.1%€17.53€9.23n/a3
Feb ’25€11.00
€14.25
+29.5%
22.6%€17.46€9.19n/a4
Jan ’25€11.20
€14.25
+27.2%
22.6%€17.46€9.19n/a4
Dec ’24€10.60
€14.54
+37.1%
22.6%€17.82€9.38n/a4
Nov ’24€10.20
€16.32
+60.0%
30.9%€23.32€9.33n/a4
Oct ’24€11.20
€16.32
+45.7%
30.9%€23.32€9.33€9.704
Sep ’24€12.10
€16.09
+33.0%
30.9%€22.99€9.20n/a4
Aug ’24n/a
€15.50
0%
30.0%€23.06€9.23€8.505
Jul ’24€11.50
€15.50
+34.8%
30.0%€23.06€9.23€11.305
Jun ’24€11.20
€15.50
+38.4%
30.0%€23.06€9.23€10.705
May ’24n/a
€19.28
0%
24.4%€28.44€13.27n/a6
Apr ’24€11.60
€19.28
+66.2%
24.4%€28.44€13.27€11.806
Mar ’24n/a
€21.15
0%
19.2%€28.30€15.57€10.506
Feb ’24€14.30
€21.40
+49.7%
17.7%€28.42€15.63€11.007
Jan ’24n/a
€22.57
0%
16.7%€29.78€17.37€11.207
Dec ’23€16.20
€22.57
+39.3%
16.7%€29.78€17.37€10.607
Nov ’23€17.30
€23.25
+34.4%
16.7%€30.68€17.90€10.207
Oct ’23n/a
€23.08
0%
15.5%€30.08€17.55€11.207

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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