Impax Asset Management Group Plc

DB:LW4 Stock Report

Market Cap: €511.0m

Impax Asset Management Group Valuation

Is LW4 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LW4 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: LW4 (€3.9) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€11.47)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LW4 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LW4?

Key metric: As LW4 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for LW4. This is calculated by dividing LW4's market cap by their current earnings.
What is LW4's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio10.5x
EarningsUK£40.67m
Market CapUK£426.76m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does LW4's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for LW4 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average13.5x
MLP MLP
9.9x8.3%€640.5m
AR4 AURELIUS Equity Opportunities SE KGaA
3.9xn/a€390.6m
O4B OVB Holding
15.3x3.5%€282.2m
DBAN Deutsche Beteiligungs
24.7x54.1%€426.4m
LW4 Impax Asset Management Group
10.5x2.5%€426.8m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: LW4 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.5x) compared to the peer average (13.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does LW4's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Capital Markets Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AR4 AURELIUS Equity Opportunities SE KGaA
3.9xn/aUS$409.25m
HXCK Ernst Russ
3.7x-18.2%US$202.59m
VG8 Varengold Bank
1.8xn/aUS$24.24m
XE8 Black Sea Property
0.7xn/aUS$7.74m
No more companies available in this PE range
LW4 10.5xIndustry Avg. 20.1xNo. of Companies6PE01632486480+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: LW4 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.5x) compared to the German Capital Markets industry average (20.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LW4's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LW4 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10.5x
Fair PE Ratio11.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: LW4 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LW4 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€3.90
€6.57
+68.5%
22.8%€8.97€4.74n/a5
Nov ’25€4.10
€6.58
+60.5%
22.8%€8.99€4.75n/a5
Oct ’25€4.50
€6.91
+53.6%
24.0%€9.60€5.04n/a5
Sep ’25€4.48
€6.86
+53.0%
24.0%€9.52€5.00n/a5
Aug ’25€4.72
€6.86
+45.2%
24.0%€9.52€5.00n/a5
Jul ’25€4.36
€7.38
+69.3%
21.5%€9.41€5.29n/a5
Jun ’25€4.82
€7.38
+53.1%
21.5%€9.41€5.29n/a5
May ’25€5.20
€7.33
+41.0%
21.4%€9.34€5.25n/a5
Apr ’25€5.40
€7.32
+35.6%
21.1%€9.30€5.23n/a5
Mar ’25€5.25
€7.32
+39.5%
21.1%€9.30€5.23n/a5
Feb ’25€6.25
€7.32
+17.2%
21.1%€9.30€5.23n/a5
Jan ’25€6.30
€7.28
+15.6%
21.4%€9.28€5.34n/a5
Dec ’24€5.20
€7.28
+40.1%
21.4%€9.28€5.34n/a5
Nov ’24€4.36
€8.56
+96.4%
25.1%€11.50€5.52€4.104
Oct ’24€5.20
€10.23
+96.7%
15.9%€11.64€7.51€4.504
Sep ’24€6.05
€10.23
+69.0%
15.9%€11.64€7.51€4.484
Aug ’24€6.35
€10.23
+61.0%
15.9%€11.64€7.51€4.724
Jul ’24€6.45
€10.23
+58.5%
15.9%€11.64€7.51€4.364
Jun ’24€8.00
€10.23
+27.8%
15.9%€11.64€7.51€4.824
May ’24€8.60
€10.52
+22.3%
17.6%€11.96€7.34€5.204
Apr ’24€9.05
€10.44
+15.4%
18.3%€11.91€7.15€5.404
Mar ’24€8.95
€10.44
+16.6%
18.3%€11.91€7.15€5.254
Feb ’24€8.65
€10.44
+20.7%
18.3%€11.91€7.15€6.254
Jan ’24€8.15
€10.61
+30.2%
20.0%€12.21€6.97€6.304
Dec ’23€8.90
€10.61
+19.2%
20.0%€12.21€6.97€5.204
Nov ’23€7.65
€10.27
+34.2%
19.7%€11.95€6.82€4.364

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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