Ally Financial Inc.

DB:GMZ Stock Report

Market Cap: €10.8b

Ally Financial Valuation

Is GMZ undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GMZ when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GMZ (€35.02) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€71.8)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GMZ is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GMZ?

Key metric: As GMZ is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for GMZ. This is calculated by dividing GMZ's market cap by their current earnings.
What is GMZ's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio13.6x
EarningsUS$775.00m
Market CapUS$11.15b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GMZ's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for GMZ vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average10.2x
OT8 Eleving Group
9.4x29.7%€193.2m
E4I Multitude
9.7x19.8%€107.0m
DWS DWS Group GmbH KGaA
13.4x13.0%€8.0b
DBK Deutsche Bank
8.3x12.6%€32.9b
GMZ Ally Financial
13.6x27.7%€11.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GMZ is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.6x) compared to the peer average (10.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GMZ's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Consumer Finance Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GMZ 13.6xIndustry Avg. 9.1xNo. of Companies5PE0612182430+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GMZ is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.6x) compared to the European Consumer Finance industry average (9.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GMZ's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GMZ PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13.6x
Fair PE Ratio23.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: GMZ is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GMZ forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€35.02
€39.61
+13.1%
15.3%€53.36€30.49n/a16
Dec ’25€37.26
€38.35
+2.9%
12.3%€51.93€30.21n/a18
Nov ’25€32.10
€37.27
+16.1%
10.7%€46.32€29.64n/a18
Oct ’25€31.77
€37.55
+18.2%
11.5%€45.17€28.91n/a18
Sep ’25€38.18
€42.55
+11.4%
8.9%€48.08€33.57n/a19
Aug ’25€41.27
€43.56
+5.6%
9.1%€49.12€34.29n/a19
Jul ’25€36.75
€40.83
+11.1%
12.7%€49.36€30.73n/a20
Jun ’25€35.20
€40.13
+14.0%
13.2%€50.14€30.64n/a18
May ’25€36.14
€40.41
+11.8%
13.2%€50.69€30.98n/a18
Apr ’25€36.62
€38.07
+4.0%
16.0%€48.96€25.86n/a18
Mar ’25€34.10
€37.00
+8.5%
14.5%€47.06€25.84n/a20
Feb ’25€33.82
€36.62
+8.3%
14.0%€46.92€25.76n/a21
Jan ’25€31.39
€29.64
-5.6%
15.7%€36.92€22.80n/a20
Dec ’24€28.07
€28.40
+1.2%
18.4%€36.75€20.21€37.2620
Nov ’24€22.84
€28.72
+25.7%
18.6%€37.80€19.37€32.1019
Oct ’24€24.98
€30.90
+23.7%
17.0%€42.57€20.81€31.7718
Sep ’24€25.17
€30.06
+19.4%
17.1%€41.48€20.28€38.1818
Aug ’24€27.31
€29.41
+7.7%
16.2%€40.43€21.56€41.2719
Jul ’24€24.43
€29.04
+18.9%
20.7%€43.07€20.16€36.7519
Jun ’24€24.64
€29.08
+18.0%
19.9%€42.56€19.92€35.2018
May ’24€23.40
€29.08
+24.3%
19.9%€42.56€19.92€36.1418
Apr ’24€22.76
€31.40
+37.9%
22.2%€47.02€20.28€36.6218
Mar ’24€27.73
€33.40
+20.4%
20.4%€48.21€22.68€34.1018
Feb ’24€29.78
€31.94
+7.3%
20.8%€46.83€20.20€33.8218
Jan ’24€23.21
€30.49
+31.4%
22.0%€43.29€17.88€31.3918
Dec ’23€25.53
€30.83
+20.8%
21.7%€43.70€18.05€28.0718

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/18 16:48
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/18 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Ally Financial Inc. is covered by 37 analysts. 17 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Jason GoldbergBarclays
Jason GoldbergBarclays
James FotheringhamBMO Capital Markets Equity Research