AG Mortgage Investment Trust, Inc.

DB:8AGA Stock Report

Market Cap: €188.7m

AG Mortgage Investment Trust Valuation

Is 8AGA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 8AGA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 8AGA (€6.3) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€12.89)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 8AGA is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 8AGA?

Key metric: As 8AGA is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 8AGA. This is calculated by dividing 8AGA's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 8AGA's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio3.4x
EarningsUS$58.33m
Market CapUS$197.72m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 8AGA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 8AGA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average11.1x
MPCK MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital
12.2x5.4%€204.4m
BWB Baader Bank
15.2xn/a€198.6m
OT8 Eleving Group
9.3x29.7%€190.9m
LUS1 Lang & Schwarz
7.5xn/a€180.3m
8AGA AG Mortgage Investment Trust
3.4x-31.6%€197.7m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 8AGA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (3.4x) compared to the peer average (11.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 8AGA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Mortgage REITs Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
8AGA 3.4xIndustry Avg. 10.6xNo. of Companies4PE0612182430+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 8AGA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (3.4x) compared to the Global Mortgage REITs industry average (10.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 8AGA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

8AGA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio3.4x
Fair PE Ratio6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 8AGA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (3.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 8AGA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€6.30
€14.90
+136.6%
104.0%€49.55€7.55n/a6
Nov ’25€6.60
€14.44
+118.9%
104.0%€48.02€7.32n/a6
Oct ’25€6.60
€14.18
+114.9%
104.0%€47.15€7.18n/a6
Sep ’25€6.65
€14.10
+112.0%
105.2%€47.23€6.75n/a6
Aug ’25€6.95
€14.20
+104.3%
107.7%€48.35€6.45n/a6
Jul ’25€6.05
€15.24
+151.8%
109.1%€48.48€6.46n/a5
Jun ’25€6.20
€15.24
+145.7%
109.1%€48.48€6.46n/a5
May ’25€5.15
€15.31
+197.4%
111.1%€49.32€6.58n/a5
Apr ’25€5.65
€17.19
+204.2%
105.0%€48.45€6.46n/a4
Mar ’25€5.55
€17.19
+209.7%
105.0%€48.45€6.46n/a4
Feb ’25€5.75
€20.29
+252.9%
97.4%€48.25€6.20n/a3
Jan ’25€5.75
€17.01
+195.9%
107.8%€48.78€6.27n/a4
Dec ’24€4.94
€20.67
+318.4%
97.4%€49.13€6.32n/a3
Nov ’24€4.80
€20.67
+330.6%
97.4%€49.13€6.32€6.603
Oct ’24€5.15
€20.67
+301.3%
97.4%€49.13€6.32€6.603
Sep ’24€6.05
€16.81
+177.8%
107.8%€48.18€6.20€6.654
Aug ’24€5.95
€16.42
+175.9%
110.1%€47.72€5.23€6.954
Jul ’24€5.55
€16.42
+195.8%
110.1%€47.72€5.23€6.054
Jun ’24€5.10
€16.42
+221.9%
110.1%€47.72€5.23€6.204
May ’24€5.00
€17.30
+245.9%
108.4%€49.75€6.16€5.154
Apr ’24€5.30
€17.30
+226.3%
108.4%€49.75€6.16€5.654
Mar ’24€5.60
€17.08
+205.1%
105.6%€48.32€6.44€5.554
Feb ’24€6.15
€17.08
+177.8%
105.6%€48.32€6.44€5.754
Jan ’24€4.98
€17.08
+243.0%
108.4%€49.14€6.08€5.754
Dec ’23€5.75
€18.53
+222.2%
109.5%€53.66€6.13€4.944
Nov ’23€4.92
€18.53
+276.5%
109.5%€53.66€6.13€4.804

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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