Bain Capital Specialty Finance, Inc.

DB:618 Stock Report

Market Cap: €994.0m

Bain Capital Specialty Finance Valuation

Is 618 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 618 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 618 (€14.98) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€22.27)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 618 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 618?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

618 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue7.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDAn/a
PEG Ratio5.3x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 618's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

Insufficient data to calculate this valuation analysis check
The above table shows the PE ratio for 618 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Averagen/a
618 Bain Capital Specialty Finance
8.6x1.6%€1.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: Insufficient data to calculate 618's Price-To-Earnings Ratio vs. peers for valuation analysis.


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 618's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Capital Markets Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a6.3%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a6.3%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 618 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.6x) compared to the German Capital Markets industry average (21.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 618's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

618 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio8.6x
Fair PE Ratio12.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 618 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 618 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€14.98
€14.74
-1.6%
4.0%€15.53€14.12n/a3
Apr ’25€14.31
€14.45
+1.0%
4.0%€15.22€13.84n/a3
Mar ’25€14.27
€14.57
+2.1%
3.5%€15.27€13.88n/a4
Feb ’25€13.87
€14.20
+2.3%
4.8%€15.23€13.39n/a4
Jan ’25€13.52
€14.18
+4.9%
6.5%€15.41€12.84n/a4
Dec ’24€13.63
€14.18
+4.0%
6.5%€15.41€12.84n/a4
Nov ’24€14.05
€13.83
-1.5%
6.5%€15.03€12.52n/a4
Oct ’24€14.92
€13.83
-7.3%
6.5%€15.03€12.52n/a4
Sep ’24€14.23
€13.83
-2.8%
6.5%€15.03€12.52n/a4
Aug ’24€13.16
€12.11
-8.0%
10.9%€14.28€10.71n/a4
Jul ’24€12.13
€11.98
-1.3%
9.4%€13.82€11.06n/a4
Jun ’24€11.29
€11.98
+6.1%
9.4%€13.82€11.06n/a4
May ’24€10.20
€11.96
+17.3%
12.7%€13.67€9.57n/a4
Apr ’24€10.64
€12.86
+20.8%
7.0%€14.15€11.79€14.314
Mar ’24€12.39
€12.90
+4.1%
7.9%€14.07€11.25€14.274
Feb ’24€12.05
€13.28
+10.2%
11.9%€14.49€10.62€13.874
Jan ’24€11.05
€13.28
+20.2%
11.9%€14.49€10.62€13.524
Dec ’23€12.73
€13.28
+4.3%
11.9%€14.49€10.62€13.634
Nov ’23€12.44
€14.31
+15.0%
13.3%€16.21€11.14€14.054
Oct ’23€12.11
€14.80
+22.2%
7.4%€16.05€13.04€14.924
Sep ’23€14.41
€14.80
+2.7%
7.4%€16.05€13.04€14.234
Aug ’23€13.86
€14.67
+5.8%
8.2%€15.65€12.72€13.164
Jul ’23€12.78
€15.06
+17.8%
3.1%€15.63€14.21€12.135
Jun ’23€13.34
€15.06
+12.9%
3.1%€15.63€14.21€11.295
May ’23€14.55
€14.57
+0.1%
4.0%€15.48€13.66€10.205
Apr ’23€14.02
€14.57
+3.9%
4.0%€15.48€13.66€10.645

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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