Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation

DB:41I Stock Report

Market Cap: €334.2m

Ares Commercial Real Estate Valuation

Is 41I undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 41I when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate 41I's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate 41I's fair value for valuation analysis.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 41I?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

41I key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenuen/a
Enterprise Value/EBITDAn/a
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 41I's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 41I vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14.1x
ADE Bitcoin Group
45xn/a€285.0m
VVV3 Ökoworld
3.7x4.6%€227.8m
DBAN Deutsche Beteiligungs
6.2x41.7%€462.3m
BBHK Deutsche Balaton
1.5xn/a€178.5m
41I Ares Commercial Real Estate
7.2x16.9%€363.1m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 41I is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (7.2x) compared to the peer average (14.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 41I's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Mortgage REITs Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a53.3%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a53.3%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 41I is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (7.2x) compared to the Global Mortgage REITs industry average (4.3x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 41I's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

41I PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio7.2x
Fair PS Ratio3.2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 41I is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (7.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 41I forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€5.92
€6.28
+6.1%
3.6%€6.46€6.00n/a5
Oct ’25€6.18
€6.18
+0.1%
2.9%€6.27€5.82n/a5
Sep ’25€6.35
€6.41
+1.1%
4.5%€6.87€5.96n/a5
Aug ’25€7.06
€6.43
-8.8%
4.5%€6.89€5.97n/a5
Jul ’25€6.08
€6.43
+5.9%
4.5%€6.89€5.97n/a5
Jun ’25€6.17
€6.62
+7.4%
7.1%€7.36€5.98n/a5
May ’25€6.47
€6.98
+7.9%
6.0%€7.45€6.52n/a5
Apr ’25€6.76
€7.05
+4.3%
5.2%€7.32€6.41n/a5
Mar ’25€6.92
€8.30
+20.0%
16.1%€10.14€6.92n/a5
Feb ’25€8.74
€9.36
+7.1%
4.9%€10.05€8.68n/a5
Jan ’25€9.54
€9.43
-1.1%
5.3%€10.22€8.83n/a5
Dec ’24€9.14
€9.65
+5.7%
7.4%€10.73€8.86n/a5
Nov ’24€8.61
€9.77
+13.6%
7.4%€10.86€8.97n/a5
Oct ’24€8.92
€9.83
+10.2%
6.0%€10.76€9.36€6.185
Sep ’24€9.47
€9.84
+3.9%
5.6%€10.57€9.20€6.355
Aug ’24€9.60
€9.49
-1.1%
3.9%€9.94€9.04€7.066
Jul ’24€9.23
€9.21
-0.2%
11.2%€10.13€7.37€6.086
Jun ’24€8.52
€9.21
+8.1%
11.2%€10.13€7.37€6.176
May ’24€7.59
€10.87
+43.3%
15.0%€12.22€8.15€6.476
Apr ’24€8.11
€12.13
+49.5%
6.1%€12.73€10.38€6.767
Mar ’24€10.60
€12.13
+14.5%
6.1%€12.73€10.38€6.927
Feb ’24€11.17
€11.98
+7.3%
6.8%€12.91€10.14€8.747
Jan ’24€9.36
€12.34
+31.7%
4.4%€13.07€11.21€9.547
Dec ’23€11.81
€13.70
+16.0%
4.8%€14.35€12.30€9.147
Nov ’23€12.37
€13.88
+12.3%
9.3%€16.70€12.15€8.617
Oct ’23€10.30
€15.39
+49.4%
6.5%€16.84€13.78€8.926

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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