Navient Corporation

DB:10D Stock Report

Market Cap: €1.4b

Navient Valuation

Is 10D undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 10D when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 10D (€13.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€27.74)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 10D is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 10D?

Key metric: As 10D is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 10D. This is calculated by dividing 10D's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 10D's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio18.4x
EarningsUS$79.00m
Market CapUS$1.45b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 10D's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 10D vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average41.4x
OT8 Eleving Group
9.7x29.7%€197.9m
E4I Multitude
9.4x19.8%€103.6m
T2G Tradegate Wertpapierhandelsbank
86.6xn/a€2.2b
BFV Berliner Effektengesellschaft
59.9xn/a€822.9m
10D Navient
18.4x31.5%€1.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 10D is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.4x) compared to the peer average (41.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 10D's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Consumer Finance Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
10D 18.4xIndustry Avg. 9.1xNo. of Companies5PE0612182430+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 10D is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.4x) compared to the European Consumer Finance industry average (9.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 10D's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

10D PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio18.4x
Fair PE Ratio19.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 10D is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 10D forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€13.50
€14.15
+4.8%
11.6%€16.40€10.61n/a9
Dec ’25€14.30
€13.59
-5.0%
11.7%€15.69€10.15n/a9
Nov ’25€12.90
€13.59
+5.3%
11.7%€15.69€10.15n/a9
Oct ’25€13.90
€13.25
-4.7%
12.9%€15.36€9.03n/a9
Sep ’25€14.80
€13.15
-11.2%
13.0%€14.76€9.23n/a8
Aug ’25€15.10
€13.15
-12.9%
13.0%€14.76€9.23n/a8
Jul ’25€13.50
€13.91
+3.0%
12.8%€15.89€10.28n/a8
Jun ’25€13.90
€13.91
+0.04%
12.8%€15.89€10.28n/a8
May ’25€14.50
€13.91
-4.1%
12.8%€15.89€10.28n/a8
Apr ’25€15.85
€14.99
-5.4%
14.0%€18.45€11.99n/a8
Mar ’25€14.92
€15.17
+1.7%
13.5%€18.46€12.00n/a9
Feb ’25€15.81
€15.55
-1.6%
12.0%€18.40€11.96n/a10
Jan ’25€16.92
€16.03
-5.2%
6.7%€18.38€14.71n/a9
Dec ’24€15.57
€15.89
+2.1%
6.7%€18.34€14.67€14.309
Nov ’24€14.99
€17.32
+15.6%
10.0%€20.79€15.12€12.909
Oct ’24€16.19
€17.81
+10.1%
6.2%€20.03€16.39€13.908
Sep ’24€16.15
€17.81
+10.3%
6.2%€20.03€16.39€14.808
Aug ’24€17.15
€17.81
+3.9%
6.2%€20.03€16.39€15.108
Jul ’24€17.08
€17.05
-0.2%
10.5%€20.41€14.84€13.508
Jun ’24€13.90
€16.93
+21.9%
10.5%€20.51€14.92€13.909
May ’24€14.88
€16.56
+11.3%
10.0%€19.96€14.52€14.5010
Apr ’24€14.40
€16.89
+17.3%
10.8%€20.03€12.74€15.8510
Mar ’24€16.88
€16.89
+0.06%
10.8%€20.03€12.74€14.9210
Feb ’24€17.24
€16.89
-2.1%
10.8%€20.03€12.74€15.8110
Jan ’24€15.39
€15.06
-2.1%
8.5%€17.10€13.30€16.9210
Dec ’23€15.54
€15.06
-3.1%
8.5%€17.10€13.30€15.5710

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/25 04:12
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/23 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Navient Corporation is covered by 23 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Mark DeVriesBarclays
Terry MaBarclays
James FotheringhamBMO Capital Markets Equity Research