Navient Valuation

Is 10D undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 10D when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 10D (€14) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€25.92)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 10D is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 10D?

Key metric: As 10D is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 10D. This is calculated by dividing 10D's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 10D's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio20.9x
EarningsUS$79.00m
Market CapUS$1.60b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 10D's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 10D vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average37.4x
OT8 Eleving Group
9.3x29.7%€190.9m
E4I Multitude
6.7x15.2%€104.6m
T2G Tradegate Wertpapierhandelsbank
86.6xn/a€2.2b
HYQ Hypoport
47x30.4%€1.4b
10D Navient
20.9x34.4%€1.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 10D is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.9x) compared to the peer average (37.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 10D's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Consumer Finance Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
10D 20.9xIndustry Avg. 8.5xNo. of Companies5PE0612182430+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 10D is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.9x) compared to the European Consumer Finance industry average (8.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 10D's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

10D PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio20.9x
Fair PE Ratio20.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 10D is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 10D forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€14.00
€13.87
-1.0%
11.7%€16.01€10.36n/a9
Nov ’25€12.90
€13.59
+5.3%
11.7%€15.69€10.15n/a9
Oct ’25€13.90
€13.25
-4.7%
12.9%€15.36€9.03n/a9
Sep ’25€14.80
€13.15
-11.2%
13.0%€14.76€9.23n/a8
Aug ’25€15.10
€13.15
-12.9%
13.0%€14.76€9.23n/a8
Jul ’25€13.50
€13.91
+3.0%
12.8%€15.89€10.28n/a8
Jun ’25€13.90
€13.91
+0.04%
12.8%€15.89€10.28n/a8
May ’25€14.50
€13.91
-4.1%
12.8%€15.89€10.28n/a8
Apr ’25€15.85
€14.99
-5.4%
14.0%€18.45€11.99n/a8
Mar ’25€14.92
€15.17
+1.7%
13.5%€18.46€12.00n/a9
Feb ’25€15.81
€15.55
-1.6%
12.0%€18.40€11.96n/a10
Jan ’25€16.92
€16.03
-5.2%
6.7%€18.38€14.71n/a9
Dec ’24€15.57
€15.89
+2.1%
6.7%€18.34€14.67n/a9
Nov ’24€14.99
€17.32
+15.6%
10.0%€20.79€15.12€12.909
Oct ’24€16.19
€17.81
+10.1%
6.2%€20.03€16.39€13.908
Sep ’24€16.15
€17.81
+10.3%
6.2%€20.03€16.39€14.808
Aug ’24€17.15
€17.81
+3.9%
6.2%€20.03€16.39€15.108
Jul ’24€17.08
€17.05
-0.2%
10.5%€20.41€14.84€13.508
Jun ’24€13.90
€16.93
+21.9%
10.5%€20.51€14.92€13.909
May ’24€14.88
€16.56
+11.3%
10.0%€19.96€14.52€14.5010
Apr ’24€14.40
€16.89
+17.3%
10.8%€20.03€12.74€15.8510
Mar ’24€16.88
€16.89
+0.06%
10.8%€20.03€12.74€14.9210
Feb ’24€17.24
€16.89
-2.1%
10.8%€20.03€12.74€15.8110
Jan ’24€15.39
€15.06
-2.1%
8.5%€17.10€13.30€16.9210
Dec ’23€15.54
€15.06
-3.1%
8.5%€17.10€13.30€15.5710
Nov ’23€15.25
€15.55
+2.0%
10.8%€18.06€12.54€14.9910

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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