Stock Analysis

Hypoport SE (ETR:HYQ) Shares May Have Slumped 26% But Getting In Cheap Is Still Unlikely

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XTRA:HYQ

Hypoport SE (ETR:HYQ) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 26% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Looking at the bigger picture, even after this poor month the stock is up 68% in the last year.

Even after such a large drop in price, given close to half the companies operating in Germany's Diversified Financial industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2x, you may still consider Hypoport as a stock to potentially avoid with its 3.6x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for Hypoport

XTRA:HYQ Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 6th 2024

What Does Hypoport's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Recent times have been advantageous for Hypoport as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. The P/S is probably high because investors think this strong revenue performance will continue. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Hypoport will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is Hypoport's Revenue Growth Trending?

Hypoport's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 7.3% gain to the company's revenues. Ultimately though, it couldn't turn around the poor performance of the prior period, with revenue shrinking 3.0% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 15% per year during the coming three years according to the six analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be similar to the 15% per year growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Hypoport's P/S is higher than its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Key Takeaway

Hypoport's P/S remain high even after its stock plunged. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Seeing as its revenues are forecast to grow in line with the wider industry, it would appear that Hypoport currently trades on a higher than expected P/S. The fact that the revenue figures aren't setting the world alight has us doubtful that the company's elevated P/S can be sustainable for the long term. A positive change is needed in order to justify the current price-to-sales ratio.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Hypoport you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Hypoport's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Hypoport might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.