Young & Co.'s Brewery, P.L.C.

DB:YBY Stock Report

Market Cap: €623.9m

Young's Brewery Valuation

Is YBY undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of YBY when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: YBY (€11) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€11.73)

Significantly Below Fair Value: YBY is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for YBY?

Key metric: As YBY is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for YBY. This is calculated by dividing YBY's market cap by their current earnings.
What is YBY's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio44x
EarningsUK£13.70m
Market CapUK£518.47m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does YBY's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for YBY vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12.6x
TIMA ZEAL Network
19.9x-5.0%€935.6m
IFA LS Invest
6.6xn/a€296.1m
7x17.3%€3.8b
RUTH Ruth's Hospitality Group
16.9x-1.9%US$670.3m
YBY Young's Brewery
44x30.9%€518.5m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: YBY is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (44x) compared to the peer average (11.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does YBY's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Hospitality Industry?

10 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
YBY 44.0xIndustry Avg. 17.3xNo. of Companies18PE01224364860+
10 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: YBY is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (44x) compared to the European Hospitality industry average (17.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is YBY's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

YBY PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio44x
Fair PE Ratio28.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: YBY is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (44x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst YBY forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€11.00
€16.30
+48.2%
5.4%€17.35€14.84n/a5
Nov ’25€9.70
€16.34
+68.5%
4.1%€17.25€15.46n/a5
Oct ’25€10.10
€16.34
+61.8%
4.1%€17.25€15.46n/a5
Sep ’25€10.40
€16.34
+57.2%
4.1%€17.25€15.46n/a5
Aug ’25€11.10
€16.34
+47.2%
4.1%€17.25€15.46n/a5
Jul ’25€10.70
€16.23
+51.7%
4.1%€17.13€15.36n/a5
Jun ’25€10.20
€16.06
+57.4%
3.7%€16.87€15.13n/a5
May ’25€10.80
€16.52
+53.0%
3.7%€17.30€15.68n/a4
Apr ’25€10.80
€16.52
+53.0%
4.1%€17.42€15.78n/a3
Mar ’25€10.90
€16.80
+54.1%
3.1%€17.32€16.28n/a2
Feb ’25€11.60
€16.80
+44.8%
3.1%€17.32€16.28n/a2
Jan ’25€12.10
€16.80
+38.8%
3.1%€17.32€16.28n/a2
Dec ’24€12.00
€18.91
+57.6%
11.2%€21.05€16.02n/a3
Nov ’24€11.60
€18.72
+61.4%
9.1%€21.22€15.68€9.706
Oct ’24€11.80
€18.72
+58.6%
9.1%€21.22€15.68€10.106
Sep ’24€12.60
€18.91
+50.1%
9.1%€21.44€15.84€10.406
Aug ’24€13.10
€19.00
+45.0%
9.1%€21.53€15.92€11.106
Jul ’24€13.40
€18.98
+41.6%
9.1%€21.51€15.90€10.706
Jun ’24€13.10
€18.19
+38.9%
7.7%€19.80€15.66€10.205
May ’24€12.40
€17.68
+42.6%
9.9%€19.67€14.41€10.805
Apr ’24€11.30
€17.68
+56.4%
9.9%€19.67€14.41€10.805
Mar ’24€12.40
€17.68
+42.6%
9.9%€19.67€14.41€10.905
Feb ’24€11.10
€17.68
+59.2%
9.9%€19.67€14.41€11.605
Jan ’24€11.30
€17.64
+56.1%
11.0%€19.80€14.51€12.104
Dec ’23€12.50
€17.64
+41.1%
11.0%€19.80€14.51€12.004
Nov ’23€10.60
€18.25
+72.1%
4.9%€19.58€17.08€11.604

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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