DPC Dash Valuation

Is X12 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of X12 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: X12 (€9.2) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€15.12)

Significantly Below Fair Value: X12 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for X12?

Key metric: As X12 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for X12. This is calculated by dividing X12's market cap by their current revenue.
What is X12's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio2.6x
SalesCN¥3.72b
Market CapCN¥9.60b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does X12's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for X12 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.9x
DHER Delivery Hero
1x11.1%€10.8b
TIMA ZEAL Network
6.3x14.3%€955.1m
MS1 Marley Spoon Group
0.09x10.0%€15.1m
0.2x3.8%€3.8b
X12 DPC Dash
2.6x24.9%€10.3b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: X12 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.6x) compared to the peer average (1.9x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does X12's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Hospitality Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
MS1 Marley Spoon Group
0.09x10.0%US$15.98m
9UX Hostmore
0.0006xn/aUS$138.43k
No more companies available in this PS range
X12 2.6xIndustry Avg. 1.0xNo. of Companies4PS00.61.21.82.43+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: X12 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.6x) compared to the European Hospitality industry average (1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is X12's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

X12 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio2.6x
Fair PS Ratio1.8x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: X12 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst X12 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€9.20
€9.19
-0.1%
3.3%€9.66€8.59n/a8
Nov ’25€7.20
€9.19
+27.6%
3.3%€9.66€8.59n/a8
Oct ’25€8.70
€8.91
+2.5%
3.5%€9.37€8.38n/a8
Sep ’25€7.65
€8.80
+15.0%
6.2%€9.42€7.60n/a8
Aug ’25€7.70
€8.65
+12.3%
6.5%€9.45€7.62n/a8
Jul ’25€7.35
€8.56
+16.4%
5.8%€9.50€7.66n/a9
Jun ’25€6.40
€8.45
+32.0%
6.0%€9.43€7.58n/a8
May ’25€6.35
€8.85
+39.3%
9.5%€10.79€7.73n/a9
Apr ’25€5.70
€8.69
+52.5%
9.4%€10.65€7.59n/a9
Mar ’25€6.70
€8.75
+30.6%
9.0%€10.63€7.57n/a9
Feb ’25€6.25
€8.92
+42.7%
9.1%€10.65€8.25n/a6
Jan ’25€6.80
€9.30
+36.8%
9.4%€10.77€8.46n/a4
Dec ’24€6.95
€9.14
+31.5%
9.4%€10.59€8.32n/a4
Nov ’24€7.65
€9.58
+25.2%
12.2%€10.75€8.41€7.202

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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