Red Rock Resorts, Inc.

DB:RRK Stock Report

Market Cap: €4.7b

Red Rock Resorts Valuation

Is RRK undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of RRK when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: RRK (€44.2) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€81.53)

Significantly Below Fair Value: RRK is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for RRK?

Key metric: As RRK is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for RRK. This is calculated by dividing RRK's market cap by their current earnings.
What is RRK's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio16.1x
EarningsUS$163.76m
Market CapUS$4.86b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does RRK's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for RRK vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14x
TIMA ZEAL Network
22.6x-12.6%€1.1b
TUI1 TUI
8.4x16.1%€4.2b
BYD Boyd Gaming
12.7x5.1%US$6.4b
OPAP Organization of Football Prognostics
12.5x4.3%€5.7b
RRK Red Rock Resorts
16.1x10.8%€4.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: RRK is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.1x) compared to the peer average (14x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does RRK's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Hospitality Industry?

9 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
RRK 16.1xIndustry Avg. 17.3xNo. of Companies16PE01224364860+
9 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: RRK is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.1x) compared to the European Hospitality industry average (17.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is RRK's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

RRK PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio16.1x
Fair PE Ratio26.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: RRK is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst RRK forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€44.20
€56.01
+26.7%
10.2%€62.88€41.92n/a14
Dec ’25€46.80
€56.01
+19.7%
10.2%€62.88€41.92n/a14
Nov ’25€47.20
€58.47
+23.9%
7.9%€66.75€50.99n/a14
Oct ’25€48.40
€58.33
+20.5%
7.0%€65.04€49.69n/a14
Sep ’25€52.00
€60.19
+15.7%
7.0%€66.52€49.89n/a14
Aug ’25€52.50
€60.19
+14.6%
7.0%€66.52€49.89n/a14
Jul ’25€51.00
€57.81
+13.3%
7.1%€65.82€49.13n/a14
Jun ’25€45.80
€57.81
+26.2%
7.1%€65.82€49.13n/a14
May ’25€51.00
€59.10
+15.9%
7.4%€66.22€49.43n/a15
Apr ’25€55.00
€58.06
+5.6%
8.7%€65.17€47.48n/a15
Mar ’25€53.50
€56.82
+6.2%
7.4%€61.63€47.62n/a13
Feb ’25€50.00
€51.06
+2.1%
8.8%€57.16€41.49n/a13
Jan ’25€48.60
€46.96
-3.4%
5.2%€49.99€40.90€43.6012
Dec ’24€40.80
€46.64
+14.3%
5.4%€50.46€42.05€46.8012
Nov ’24€37.20
€48.97
+31.6%
6.1%€52.21€42.72€47.2012
Oct ’24€38.20
€48.50
+27.0%
4.9%€50.54€42.12€48.4011
Sep ’24€40.40
€47.25
+17.0%
5.2%€49.07€40.89€52.0011
Aug ’24€44.00
€46.97
+6.7%
6.5%€50.78€40.09€52.5011
Jul ’24€43.00
€47.92
+11.5%
6.5%€51.81€40.90€51.0011
Jun ’24€42.60
€47.92
+12.5%
6.5%€51.81€40.90€45.8011
May ’24€43.20
€46.16
+6.8%
7.4%€50.13€38.28€51.0011
Apr ’24€39.80
€47.08
+18.3%
7.2%€51.23€39.12€55.0011
Mar ’24€41.20
€47.08
+14.3%
7.2%€51.23€39.12€53.5011
Feb ’24€41.20
€43.62
+5.9%
8.0%€47.89€35.92€50.0011
Jan ’24€37.40
€44.96
+20.2%
7.7%€49.36€37.02€48.6011

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/02 02:27
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/02 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Red Rock Resorts, Inc. is covered by 28 analysts. 13 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
David BainAegis Capital Corporation
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research
Brandt MontourBarclays