Minor Hotels Europe & Americas, S.A.

DB:NH5 Stock Report

Market Cap: €1.9b

Minor Hotels Europe & Americas Valuation

Is NH5 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NH5 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: NH5 (€4.22) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€3.57)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NH5 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NH5?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

NH5 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.8x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA9.1x
PEG Ratio-160.9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does NH5's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for NH5 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average19.4x
7.2x16.5%€3.9b
IFA LS Invest
7.1xn/a€320.8m
TIMA ZEAL Network
19.2x1.9%€840.3m
TRN Trainline
43.9x22.5%UK£1.5b
NH5 Minor Hotels Europe & Americas
12.3x-0.08%€1.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: NH5 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.3x) compared to the peer average (19.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does NH5's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Hospitality Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a83.2%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a83.2%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: NH5 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.3x) compared to the European Hospitality industry average (17.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NH5's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NH5 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.3x
Fair PE Ratio17.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: NH5 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst NH5 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€4.22
€4.28
+1.5%
3.7%€4.50€4.10n/a5
Oct ’25€4.28
€4.28
0%
3.7%€4.50€4.10n/a5
Sep ’25€4.01
€4.30
+7.2%
4.2%€4.50€4.10n/a5
Aug ’25€4.09
€4.30
+5.1%
4.2%€4.50€4.10n/a5
Jul ’25€4.06
€4.28
+5.5%
4.8%€4.50€4.00n/a5
Jun ’25€4.26
€4.26
0%
4.8%€4.50€4.00n/a5
May ’25€4.12
€4.26
+3.5%
6.0%€4.50€3.80n/a5
Apr ’25€4.31
€4.26
-1.2%
6.0%€4.50€3.80n/a5
Mar ’25€4.49
€4.18
-6.8%
5.5%€4.50€3.80n/a5
Feb ’25€4.19
€4.14
-1.2%
5.4%€4.50€3.80n/a5
Jan ’25€4.15
€4.14
-0.1%
5.4%€4.50€3.80n/a5
Dec ’24€3.75
€4.14
+10.5%
5.4%€4.50€3.80n/a5
Nov ’24€3.84
€4.15
+8.2%
6.0%€4.50€3.80n/a4
Oct ’24€3.95
€4.15
+5.2%
6.0%€4.50€3.80€4.284
Sep ’24€4.10
€4.15
+1.3%
6.0%€4.50€3.80€4.014
Aug ’24€4.32
€4.15
-3.9%
6.0%€4.50€3.80€4.094
Jul ’24€4.36
€4.10
-6.0%
6.7%€4.50€3.80€4.064
Jun ’24€4.44
€4.03
-9.2%
9.2%€4.50€3.50€4.264
May ’24€3.51
€4.10
+17.0%
10.3%€4.50€3.50€4.124
Apr ’24€3.48
€3.95
+13.5%
14.0%€4.50€3.30€4.314
Mar ’24€3.77
€3.95
+4.8%
14.0%€4.50€3.30€4.494
Feb ’24€3.77
€3.95
+4.8%
14.0%€4.50€3.30€4.194
Jan ’24€2.96
€4.28
+44.7%
23.2%€5.91€3.10€4.155
Dec ’23€3.03
€4.28
+41.3%
23.2%€5.91€3.10€3.755
Nov ’23€2.68
€4.34
+62.3%
21.8%€5.91€3.10€3.845
Oct ’23€2.46
€4.34
+76.9%
21.8%€5.91€3.10€3.955

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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